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Getting started

Quickstart — the 5-minute tour

A five-minute tour of CrowdIntel. Land on the whales leaderboard, open a wallet dossier, read an investigation, and check a market page.

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CrowdIntel is built around four surfaces. In five minutes you can use all of them and have a working mental model for how the product fits together.

Step 1 — Land on the whales leaderboard

Start at /whales. This is the index of every Polymarket wallet CrowdIntel tracks, ranked by shrinkage-adjusted win rate and lifetime volume. Sort and filter live; no account required to browse.

Things to notice:

  • Win rate column — the number shown is the Bayesian-shrunk rate, not raw. A wallet with 2-for-2 does not appear at the top; a wallet with 200-for-300 does.
  • Volume column — lifetime USDC moved on Polymarket. Some very active wallets trade millions in a month; most trade much less.
  • Confidence pill — how much we trust the win rate given sample size. Green = high confidence, amber = medium, grey = not enough bets yet.

Click any row to open that wallet's dossier.

Step 2 — Open a whale dossier

Every wallet page is a full dossier: lifetime PnL, category edges, open positions, trade history, funding trail, and any investigations the wallet is part of.

Things to notice:

  • Cluster badge — if the wallet shares a funder with other wallets in a published investigation, a badge appears in the header. Click it to read the case.
  • Category edges — win rate broken down by market category (politics, crypto, sports, etc.). A wallet that's 85% on politics and 45% on sports is a different animal than one that's 65% across the board.
  • Polygonscan link — every wallet links to the raw on-chain record. Every claim on CrowdIntel is independently verifiable.

Step 3 — Read an investigation

From any wallet dossier, click a cluster badge — or go straight to /investigations to browse all published cases.

An investigation is what CrowdIntel publishes when a wallet or group of wallets clears the statistical bar: enough resolved bets, high enough excess win rate, positive PnL, and low enough p-value. Each investigation lists the wallets, the funder they trace back to, the markets they targeted, and the supporting evidence.

See how to read an investigation for the full anatomy.

Step 4 — Open a market page

Go to /trending, pick any hot market, and click it to see the market's own page. This is the inverse view: instead of showing you what one wallet has done everywhere, it shows you what every wallet has done on one market.

Things to notice:

  • Top holders — the largest YES and NO positions currently held.
  • Whale sentiment — buy volume vs sell volume. This reflects capital flow, not final odds — the price is the final odds.
  • Insider score distribution — how much of the volume on this market comes from wallets CrowdIntel has flagged.

Step 5 — Bookmark the Insider Radar

/insider-radar is the real-time feed of trades scoring above our surfacing threshold. This is the page you want in a tab during high-volatility market moments.

Next steps

You now know where everything is. Pick the guide that matches what you actually want to do:

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