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◆ CrowdIntel · Trader File · Vol 006May 20, 2026

Trader File — gopfan2

◆ Summary

gopfan2 has settled 52 bets on Polymarket at a 73.1% win rate for +$1.46M of net P&L, on $60.39M of total volume. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 4s between fills, 59% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.

The edge

Classified as a whale ($60.39M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is generalist. Capital distribution is balanced across price bands — neither concentrated arbitrage nor pure longshot betting. Across 96 markets total. 8-signal classification: automated · tape-reading scalper.

◆ Trader Profile4-axis archetype
Size
🐳
Whale
Market moves when this one does.
Style
🧘
Swing Trader
Patient enough to let trades breathe.
Performance
📈
Steady Earner
Consistent positive returns. Reliable edge.
Diversity
🎰
Wide net
Many markets. Generalist or scanner.
Strategy verdict
mid-band directional bettor
◆ Profile Statsderived from full trade history
Total BUY trades3,541
Unique markets entered125
Resolved bets52
Open positions8
Wins / Losses38 / 14
Win rate73.1%
Total volume$60.4M
Net PnL+$1.5M
ROI+2.4%
Avg holding time1.5d (1.5 days)
Longest hold91.7d
Shortest hold4.2h
◆ Bot signaturehuman-rate execution
Median gap2.1 minbetween fills
Sub-10s fills26.5%machine-tempo
Hour coverage100%of UTC hours
Peak UTC hour21:00351 trades
◆ Sizing
Median bet$3
Mean bet$388
P95 bet$1.6K
Max bet$48.8K
Top 5% share82.1%of total notional
◆ Entry price distribution
≥ 95¢ (favorite)12.3%penny carry
30¢–70¢ (mid)51.8%directional
< 30¢ (longshot)10.9%lottery tickets
◆ Concentration
Top market share10.7%of total notional
Both-sides rate0.0%of markets hedged
Active days105/ 152d span
Trades / active day38
◆ Open Positions$21.0K at risk · 8 open · 5 shown
Pro · Locked

Unlock the full open book

The other 3 open positions — market, side, entry price, size and hold age.

◆ By Daycounted on closing date · last 30 active days
Pro · Locked

Unlock the day-by-day breakdown

All 30 active days — buys, closes, W/L, spend, PnL and hold time.

◆ Linked artifactscross-references
gopfan2

gopfan2

0xf2f6...5817
active 4mo ago73% WR+$1.5M PnL
Profit / Loss
+$1.5M
All time · per polymarket · curve from Mar 28

Where the edge is · win rate by category

🧬 science
100% ·6
other
89% ·228
sports
60% ·20
🏛️ us politics
50% ·34
Portfolio Value
$267.4K
8 open positions · at entry cost
Win Rate73%
Bayesian Win Rate
Profit Factor3.31
Confidence
Population Z
p-value
Volume$60.4M
Avg PnL / Prediction
Bets98752 resolved
Markets987
Avg Position
Max Drawdown
Skill
EV CI-low
Effective n
Skill z
EV / $ (decayed)
Markout 1h
Markout 24h

Profile & edge

High-conviction whale — large-stake market participant
Elite win rate — 73% across 52 resolved bets
⚽ Strongest edge in sports (60% WR)
Behaviour
🎰
The Gambling Addict
Every market. Every side. No brakes.
Trading cadenceNo recent fills
Risk profile$16.3K average position
Consistency3.31x profit factor
Edge sourceSports · 60% win rate

Recent form · last 15 resolutions

10L streak
3/15 won · newest first
Skill
EV CI-low
Effective n
Skill z
EV / $ (decayed)
Markout 1h
Markout 24h
◆ Methodology

Stats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 26, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.

Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.

Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.

Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.

◆ Track gopfan2 live · Pro

This file is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.

Live alerts

Push + email on every sized bet from this wallet.

Cluster feed

Real-time tape of every wallet in the funding cluster.

Raw export

Full trade history as CSV — slice it however you want.

◆ More reports
Live
Beta
···v0.1.0
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