Live
◆ CrowdIntel · Trader Report · Vol 006May 20, 2026

Trader Report — gopfan2

◆ Summary

gopfan2 has settled 52 bets on Polymarket at a 73.1% win rate for +$1.46M of net P&L, on $60.39M of total volume. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 4s between fills, 59% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.

The edge

Classified as a whale ($60.39M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is generalist. Capital distribution is balanced across price bands — neither concentrated arbitrage nor pure longshot betting. Across 96 markets total. 8-signal classification: automated · tape-reading scalper.

◆ Trader Profile4-axis archetype
Size
🐳
Whale
Market moves when this one does.
Style
🧘
Swing Trader
Patient enough to let trades breathe.
Performance
📈
Steady Earner
Consistent positive returns. Reliable edge.
Diversity
🎰
Wide net
Many markets. Generalist or scanner.
Strategy verdict
mid-band directional bettor
◆ Profile Statsderived from full trade history
Total BUY trades3,541
Unique markets entered125
Resolved bets52
Open positions8
Wins / Losses38 / 14
Win rate73.1%
Total volume$60.4M
Net PnL+$1.5M
ROI+2.4%
Avg holding time1.5d (1.5 days)
Longest hold91.7d
Shortest hold4.2h
◆ Bot signaturehuman-rate execution
Median gap2.1 minbetween fills
Sub-10s fills26.5%machine-tempo
Hour coverage100%of UTC hours
Peak UTC hour21:00351 trades
◆ Sizing
Median bet$3
Mean bet$388
P95 bet$1.6K
Max bet$48.8K
Top 5% share82.1%of total notional
◆ Entry price distribution
≥ 95¢ (favorite)12.3%penny carry
30¢–70¢ (mid)51.8%directional
< 30¢ (longshot)10.9%lottery tickets
◆ Concentration
Top market share10.7%of total notional
Both-sides rate0.0%of markets hedged
Active days105/ 152d span
Trades / active day38
◆ Open Positions$21.0K at risk · 8 open
◆ By Daycounted on closing date · last 30 active days
DateBuysClosedOpenW/LSpentPnLHold
2026-05-25110W/0L
2026-05-24550W/0L
2026-05-22220W/0L
2026-05-21110W/0L
2026-05-19110W/0L
2026-05-18110W/0L
2026-04-25110W/0L
2026-04-2320200W/0L
2026-04-22880W/0L
2026-04-2176760W/0L
2026-04-201591590W/0L
2026-04-1915150W/0L
2026-04-18990W/0L
2026-04-1764640W/0L
2026-04-1621210W/0L
2026-04-1570700W/0L
2026-04-14440W/0L
2026-04-121771770W/0L
2026-04-1146460W/0L
2026-04-1016160W/0L
2026-04-09110W/0L
2026-04-08440W/0L
2026-04-07330W/0L
2026-04-05330W/0L
2026-04-0446460W/0L
2026-04-031110W/1L$85-$8591.7d
2026-04-021821820W/0L
2026-04-01440W/0L
2026-03-319756W/1L$45.7K+$24.8K3.0d
2026-03-2910W/0L
◆ Linked artifactscross-references
gopfan2
whale
gopfan2
0xf2f6...5817
Profit / Loss
+$1.5M
All time · per polymarket
55whale score

Where the edge is · win rate by category

🧬 science
100% ·6
other
89% ·228
sports
60% ·20
🏛️ us politics
50% ·34
Portfolio Value
$267.4K
8 open positions · at entry cost
Win Rate73%
Profit Factor3.31
Confidence98%
Population Z+1.2σ
Volume$60.4M
Avg PnL / Prediction+$28.1K
Bets98752 resolved
Markets987
Avg Position$16.3K
active 2mo ago73% WR+$1.5M PnL

Profile & edge

High-conviction whale — large-stake market participant
Elite win rate — 73% across 52 resolved bets
⚽ Strongest edge in sports (60% WR)

Recent form · last 15 resolutions

9L streak
3/15 won · newest first

Population standing — where this wallet ranks

MarketBetStatusPnL
W
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?
3 months ago
Won+$10.9K
W
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?
3 months ago
Won+$10.3K
B
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy: O/U 2.5
3 months ago
Won+$10.1K
W
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
3 months ago
Won+$747
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
W
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-31?
3 months ago
Lost-$9.7K
◆ Methodology

Stats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 26, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.

Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.

Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.

Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.

◆ Track gopfan2 live · Pro

This report is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.

Live alerts

Push + email on every sized bet from this wallet.

Cluster feed

Real-time tape of every wallet in the funding cluster.

Raw export

Full trade history as CSV — slice it however you want.

◆ More reports
Live
Beta
···v0.1.0
CrowdIntel needs a newer browser

Your device is on iOS 15 or older. CrowdIntel uses features (color-mix, WebGL2, modern auth) that require iOS 16+ / Safari 16+.

iPhone 7 maxes out at iOS 15, so the site can't render here. Open CrowdIntel on a desktop browser or a newer phone.

crowdintel.xyz

◆ legacy browser fallback