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◆ CrowdIntel · Trader Report · Vol 051May 20, 2026

Trader Report — superbeter007

superbeter007·live profile →
◆ Summary

superbeter007 has settled 32 bets on Polymarket at a 65.6% win rate for +$135K of net P&L, on $1.59M of total volume. 91% of capital lives in the 30–70¢ mid-band — directional bets on uncertain outcomes. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 0s between fills, 71% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.

The edge

Classified as a shark ($1.59M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is wide net. 91% of capital lives in the 30–70¢ band, where the trader has to actually be right about uncertain outcomes. Sustained profitability in this band is harder to explain by structural arbitrage — there's a directional view. Spread across 193 unique markets across 4 categories — diversified across the order book. 8-signal classification: automated · mid-band directional bettor.

◆ Trader Profile4-axis archetype
Size
🦈
Shark
Large enough that liquidity has to find it.
Style
Unknown style
No resolved trades to time.
Performance
📈
Steady Earner
Consistent positive returns. Reliable edge.
Diversity
🎰
Wide net
Many markets. Generalist or scanner.
Strategy verdict
automated · mid-band directional bettor
◆ Profile Statsderived from full trade history
Total BUY trades1,862
Unique markets entered193
Closed positions374
Open positions24
Wins / Losses1 / 25
Win rate65.6%
Total USDC invested$643.3K
Total USDC recovered$263.1K
Net PnL (closed only)-$380.4K
ROI (closed only)-59.1%
Avg holding time
Longest hold
Shortest hold
◆ Bot signature🤖 likely automated
Median gap0sbetween fills
Sub-10s fills71.4%machine-tempo
Hour coverage100%of UTC hours
Peak UTC hour16:00879 trades
◆ Sizing
Median bet$2
Mean bet$2.2K
P95 bet$12.7K
Max bet$153.4K
Top 5% share64.2%of total notional
◆ Entry price distribution
≥ 95¢ (favorite)0.0%penny carry
30¢–70¢ (mid)91.2%directional
< 30¢ (longshot)4.8%lottery tickets
◆ Concentration
Top market share5.6%of total notional
Both-sides rate0.0%of markets hedged
Active days50/ 69d span
Trades / active day42
◆ Open Positions$276.9K at risk · 24 open
Celtics@100¢$63.9Kheld
Over@41¢$2.5Kheld 32.7d · since 4/17/2026
No@50¢$985held 31.7d · since 4/18/2026
Yes@12¢$3.0Kheld 30.2d · since 4/19/2026
Warriors@49¢$9.8Kheld 37.1d · since 4/13/2026
Bilibili Gaming@58¢$6.9Kheld 37.7d · since 4/12/2026
Yes@41¢$4.6Kheld 38.0d · since 4/12/2026
Yes@64¢$49.5Kheld 32.5d · since 4/17/2026
Jazz@48¢$9.7Kheld 39.2d · since 4/10/2026
Vici Gaming@45¢$2.0Kheld 31.8d · since 4/18/2026
Top Esports@35¢$8.5Kheld 30.8d · since 4/19/2026
Yes@50¢$3.0Kheld 32.0d · since 4/18/2026
Yes@99¢$5.9Kheld 32.0d · since 4/18/2026
Thunder@100¢$16.6Kheld
Under@50¢$887held 34.2d · since 4/16/2026
Jazz@53¢$5.9Kheld 39.2d · since 4/10/2026
Yes@29¢$900held 37.6d · since 4/12/2026
No@56¢$14.8Kheld 38.9d · since 4/11/2026
No@51¢$15.1Kheld 37.6d · since 4/12/2026
Gen.G@76¢$9.9Kheld 33.9d · since 4/16/2026
ThunderTalk Gaming@42¢$2.9Kheld 32.8d · since 4/17/2026
Top Esports@48¢$3.0Kheld 33.7d · since 4/16/2026
Top Esports@100¢$6.1Kheld 33.7d · since 4/16/2026
Hanwha Life Esports@100¢$30.4Kheld
◆ By Daycounted on closing date · last 30 active days
DateBuysClosedOpenW/LSpentPnLROIHold
2026-05-20110W/0L
2026-05-17110W/0L
2026-05-15440W/0L
2026-04-28110W/0L
2026-04-27660W/0L
2026-04-262022020W/0L
2026-04-2554540W/0L
2026-04-24880W/0L
2026-04-2312120W/0L
2026-04-22440W/0L
2026-04-21770W/0L
2026-04-20330W/0L
2026-04-1913130W/0L
2026-04-1812120W/0L
2026-04-17880W/0L
2026-04-16990W/0L
2026-04-15110W/0L
2026-04-14330W/0L
2026-04-13440W/0L
2026-04-12990W/0L
2026-04-11770W/0L
2026-04-10770W/0L
2026-04-08330W/0L
2026-04-07117811780W/0L
2026-04-063120W/1L$24.1K-$24.1K-100.0%
2026-04-05110W/0L
2026-04-04331W/2L$39.9K-$20.2K-50.6%
2026-04-03220W/2L$25.0K-$25.0K-100.0%
2026-04-0219190W/19L$17.5K-$17.5K-100.0%
2026-04-01110W/1L$10.2K-$10.2K-100.0%
◆ Linked artifactscross-references
Profit / Loss
+$134.9K
All time · per polymarket
CRITICALwhale
0xef27...381b
56 trades
70whale score
High-conviction whale — large-stake market participant
Strong win rate — 66% across 32 resolved bets
Win Rate66%21/32
P&L+$134.9K
Volume$1.6M
Printing

Open Now

$3.0M at risk
+19 more
3L streak
recent

Top Calls

SSpurs vs. Nuggets: O/U 243.5+$9.8K
SSpread: Lakers (-2.5)+$9.0K
SSpread: Lakers (-2.5)+$4.5K

Recent Events

?
Apr 6, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 5, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 5, 26
$0LOSS
S
Spurs vs. Nuggets: O/U 243.5
Apr 5, 26
+$9.8KWIN
?
Apr 4, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 4, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 3, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 3, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 3, 26
$0LOSS
?
Apr 3, 26
$0LOSS
CategoryBetsWRP&L
sports6842%+$61.7K
finance520%+$896
geopolitics50%

P&L Calendar · 90 days

loss
none
win
Timing signal: 97% of wins resolved within 2 weeks. Avg 0 days — consistent with pre-announcement positioning.

Evidence

whale
Bet Size+30
Win Rate+15
Total Volume+15
Activity Level+10
Total70
◆ Methodology

Stats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 20, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.

Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.

Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.

Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.

◆ Track superbeter007 live · Pro

This report is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.

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Cluster feed

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Beta
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