CrowdIntelTrader Report — Capman
Capman has settled 91 bets on Polymarket at a 64.8% win rate for +$271K of net P&L, on $5.43M of total volume. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 34s between fills, 27% sub-10s, active across 88% of UTC hours.
Classified as a shark ($5.43M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is machine. Capital distribution is balanced across price bands — neither concentrated arbitrage nor pure longshot betting. Spread across 1,348 unique markets across 2 categories — diversified across the order book. 8-signal classification: automated · tape-reading scalper · both-sides hedger.
| Date | Buys | Closed | Open | W/L | Spent | PnL | Hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | 188 | 187 | 1 | 28W/159L | $11.9K | -$9.3K | — |
| 2026-03-31 | 233 | 232 | 1 | 19W/213L | $50.0K | -$31.2K | — |
| 2026-03-30 | 83 | 50 | 33 | 1W/49L | $4.1K | -$3.7K | — |
| 2026-03-29 | 507 | 294 | 213 | 33W/261L | $55.7K | -$29.0K | — |
| 2026-03-28 | 485 | 200 | 285 | 3W/197L | $37.8K | -$32.7K | — |
| 2026-03-27 | 238 | 59 | 179 | 2W/57L | $9.8K | -$7.3K | — |
| 2026-03-26 | 281 | 146 | 135 | 0W/146L | $17.8K | -$17.8K | — |
| 2026-03-25 | 267 | 60 | 207 | 1W/59L | $2.9K | -$957 | — |
| 2026-03-24 | 170 | 101 | 69 | 3W/98L | $19.2K | -$10.1K | — |
| 2026-03-23 | 182 | 88 | 94 | 0W/88L | $9.7K | -$9.7K | — |
| 2026-03-22 | 503 | 233 | 270 | 1W/232L | $29.4K | -$27.1K | — |
| 2026-03-21 | 438 | 179 | 259 | 0W/179L | $18.1K | -$18.1K | — |
| 2026-03-20 | 425 | 154 | 271 | 3W/151L | $25.3K | -$20.1K | — |
Where the edge is · win rate by category
Profile & edge
Recent form · last 15 resolutions
Population standing — where this wallet ranks
| Market | Bet | Status | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
W Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies 3 months ago | — | Won | +$55 |
S Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) 3 months ago | — | Won | +$14 |
P Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5 3 months ago | — | Won | +$8 |
C Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5 3 months ago | — | Won | +$7 |
C Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 3.5 3 months ago | — | Won | +$5 |
L Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubs 3 months ago | — | Won | +$4 |
C Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 3 months ago | — | Won | +$1 |
C Chicago White Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5 3 months ago | — | Won | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
C Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5 3 months ago | — | Lost | -$2 |
L Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubs 3 months ago | — | Lost | -$2 |
T Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 3 months ago | — | Lost | -$3 |
P Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5 3 months ago | — | Lost | -$19 |
N New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals 3 months ago | — | Lost | -$38 |
Stats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 20, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.
Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.
Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.
Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.
This report is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.
Push + email on every sized bet from this wallet.
Real-time tape of every wallet in the funding cluster.
Full trade history as CSV — slice it however you want.
superbeter007 has settled 32 bets on Polymarket at a 65.6% win rate for +$135K of net P&L, on $1.59M of total volume. 91% of capital lives in the 30–70¢ mid-band — directional bets on uncertain outcomes. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 0s between fills, 71% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.
Maximus22 has settled 66 bets on Polymarket at a 72.7% win rate for +$144K of net P&L, on $30.29M of total volume.
Pondermint has settled 45 bets on Polymarket at a 75.6% win rate for +$144K of net P&L, on $7.66M of total volume. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 58s between fills, 25% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.