Live
◆ CrowdIntel · Trader File · Vol 009May 20, 2026

Trader File — Account88888

Account88888·live profile →
◆ Summary

Account88888 has settled 50 bets on Polymarket at a 96.0% win rate for +$647K of net P&L, on $119.62M of total volume. 98% of capital sits at ≥95¢ entry — penny-carry on near-certain outcomes, not informational edge. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 0s between fills, 81% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.

The edge

Classified as a whale ($119.62M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is machine. The price-band distribution is the tell: 98% of capital deployed at ≥95¢ is the shape of a structural-edge arbitrage scalper, not a wallet trading on information. Each individual bet returns 1–3% on capital with near-certain probability; the P&L is the cumulative spread capture. Spread across 635 unique markets across 1 categories — diversified across the order book. 8-signal classification: automated · heavy-favorite arbitrage scalper.

◆ Trader Profile4-axis archetype
Size
🐳
Whale
Market moves when this one does.
Style
Unknown style
No resolved trades to time.
Performance
📈
Steady Earner
Consistent positive returns. Reliable edge.
Diversity
🤖
Machine
Inhuman market count. Likely automated.
Strategy verdict
automated · heavy-favorite arbitrage scalper
◆ Profile Statsderived from full trade history
Total BUY trades4,000
Unique markets entered635
Resolved bets
Open positions8
Wins / Losses
Win rate96.0%
Total volume
Net PnL
ROI
◆ Bot signature🤖 likely automated
Median gap0sbetween fills
Sub-10s fills80.9%machine-tempo
Hour coverage100%of UTC hours
Peak UTC hour00:00384 trades
◆ Sizing
Median bet$11
Mean bet$191
P95 bet$1.0K
Max bet$9.8K
Top 5% share63.3%of total notional
◆ Entry price distribution
≥ 95¢ (favorite)97.8%penny carry
30¢–70¢ (mid)0.4%directional
< 30¢ (longshot)0.0%lottery tickets
◆ Concentration
Top market share2.6%of total notional
Both-sides rate0.0%of markets hedged
Active days10/ 21d span
Trades / active day400
◆ Open Positions$12.5K at risk · 8 open · 5 shown
Up@99¢$220held 36.7d · since 4/13/2026
Up@98¢$2.4Kheld 35.9d · since 4/14/2026
Down@99¢$2.0Kheld 37.4d · since 4/12/2026
Up@1¢$0held 36.2d · since 4/14/2026
Up@99¢$2.0Kheld 37.3d · since 4/12/2026
Pro · Locked

Unlock the full open book

The other 3 open positions — market, side, entry price, size and hold age.

◆ By Daycounted on closing date · last 10 active days
Pro · Locked

Unlock the day-by-day breakdown

All 10 active days — buys, closes, W/L, spend, PnL and hold time.

◆ Linked artifactscross-references
Account88888

Account88888

0x7f69...6162
active 4mo ago96% WR+$646.5K PnL
Profit / Loss
+$646.5K
All time · per polymarket · curve from Mar 25

Where the edge is · win rate by category

crypto
97% ·102
Portfolio Value
$103.1K
8 open positions · at entry cost
Win Rate96%
Bayesian Win Rate
Profit Factor0.02
Confidence
Population Z
p-value
Volume$119.6M
Avg PnL / Prediction
Bets9650 resolved
Markets96
Avg Position
Max Drawdown
Skill
EV CI-low
Effective n
Skill z
EV / $ (decayed)
Markout 1h
Markout 24h

Profile & edge

Elite win rate — 96% across 60 resolved bets
₿ Strongest edge in crypto (98% WR)
Behaviour
🤖
The Bot
Mechanical precision. Suspiciously consistent.
Trading cadenceNo recent fills
Risk profile$2.9K average position
Consistency0.02x profit factor
Edge sourceNo proven category edge

Recent form · last 15 resolutions

3L streak
1/15 won · newest first
Skill
EV CI-low
Effective n
Skill z
EV / $ (decayed)
Markout 1h
Markout 24h
◆ Methodology

Stats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 20, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.

Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.

Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.

Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.

◆ Track Account88888 live · Pro

This file is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.

Live alerts

Push + email on every sized bet from this wallet.

Cluster feed

Real-time tape of every wallet in the funding cluster.

Raw export

Full trade history as CSV — slice it however you want.

◆ More reports
Live
Beta
···v0.1.0
CrowdIntel needs a newer browser

Your device is on iOS 15 or older. CrowdIntel uses features (color-mix, WebGL2, modern auth) that require iOS 16+ / Safari 16+.

iPhone 7 maxes out at iOS 15, so the site can't render here. Open CrowdIntel on a desktop browser or a newer phone.

crowdintel.xyz

◆ legacy browser fallback