CrowdIntelTrader Report — notgonnatrickme
notgonnatrickme has settled 80 bets on Polymarket at a 63.7% win rate for +$504K of net P&L, on $17.75M of total volume. 97% of capital lives in the 30–70¢ mid-band — directional bets on uncertain outcomes. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 10s between fills, 48% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.
Classified as a whale ($17.75M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is generalist. 97% of capital lives in the 30–70¢ band, where the trader has to actually be right about uncertain outcomes. Sustained profitability in this band is harder to explain by structural arbitrage — there's a directional view. Across 59 markets total. 8-signal classification: automated · mid-band directional bettor.
| Date | Buys | Closed | Open | W/L | Spent | PnL | Hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-09 | 29 | — | 29 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2024-11-15 | 82 | 82 | — | 54W/28L | $113.4K | +$44.2K | — |
| 2024-10-22 | 8 | 8 | — | 5W/3L | $219.7K | +$80.0K | — |
| 2024-10-21 | 150 | 150 | — | 150W/0L | $18.9K | +$31.0K | — |
| 2024-10-09 | 6 | 6 | — | 4W/2L | $42.6K | +$17.3K | — |
Profile & edge
Population standing — where this wallet ranks
| Bet | Market | Value | Price | Result | P&L | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Market loading… | $696 | 0.87 | — | — | over 1 year ago |
| NO | Market loading… | $719 | 0.51 | — | — | over 1 year ago |
| NO | Market loading… | $67 | 0.87 | — | — | over 1 year ago |
| NO | Market loading… | $754 | 0.87 | — | — | over 1 year ago |
| NO | Market loading… | $12 | 0.87 | — | — | over 1 year ago |
| NO | Market loading… | $174 | 0.87 | — | — | over 1 year ago |
| NO | Market loading… | $167 | 0.87 | — | — | over 1 year ago |
| NO | Market loading… | $1,530 | 0.51 | — | — | over 1 year ago |
| NO | Market loading… | $696 | 0.87 | — | — | over 1 year ago |
| NO | Market loading… | $435 | 0.87 | — | — | over 1 year ago |
| NO | Market loading… | $435 | 0.87 | — | — | over 1 year ago |
| NO | Market loading… | $502 | 0.87 | — | — | over 1 year ago |
| NO | Market loading… | $7 | 0.87 | — | — | over 1 year ago |
| NO | Market loading… | $35 | 0.87 | — | — | over 1 year ago |
| NO | Market loading… | $348 | 0.87 | — | — | over 1 year ago |
| NO | Market loading… | $669 | 0.87 | — | — | over 1 year ago |
| NO | Market loading… | $3 | 0.76 | — | — | over 1 year ago |
| NO | Market loading… | $616 | 0.87 | — | — | over 1 year ago |
| NO | Market loading… | $1,305 | 0.87 | — | — | over 1 year ago |
| NO | Market loading… | $1,740 | 0.87 | — | — | over 1 year ago |
Stats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 20, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.
Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.
Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.
Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.
This report is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.
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Real-time tape of every wallet in the funding cluster.
Full trade history as CSV — slice it however you want.
superbeter007 has settled 32 bets on Polymarket at a 65.6% win rate for +$135K of net P&L, on $1.59M of total volume. 91% of capital lives in the 30–70¢ mid-band — directional bets on uncertain outcomes. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 0s between fills, 71% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.
Maximus22 has settled 66 bets on Polymarket at a 72.7% win rate for +$144K of net P&L, on $30.29M of total volume.
Pondermint has settled 45 bets on Polymarket at a 75.6% win rate for +$144K of net P&L, on $7.66M of total volume. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 58s between fills, 25% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.