Live
◆ CrowdIntel · Trader Report · Vol 018May 20, 2026

Trader Report — 0xbbc5zcZ96bne91qq99724dbdc6

0xbbc5zcZ96bne91qq99724dbdc6·live profile →
◆ Summary

0xbbc5zcZ96bne91qq99724dbdc6 has settled 231 bets on Polymarket at a 81.8% win rate for +$333K of net P&L, on $28.69M of total volume. 92% of capital sits at ≥95¢ entry — penny-carry on near-certain outcomes, not informational edge. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 0s between fills, 81% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.

The edge

Classified as a whale ($28.69M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is wide net. The price-band distribution is the tell: 92% of capital deployed at ≥95¢ is the shape of a structural-edge arbitrage scalper, not a wallet trading on information. Each individual bet returns 1–3% on capital with near-certain probability; the P&L is the cumulative spread capture. Spread across 217 unique markets across 4 categories — diversified across the order book. 8-signal classification: automated · heavy-favorite arbitrage scalper.

◆ Trader Profile4-axis archetype
Size
🐳
Whale
Market moves when this one does.
Style
Unknown style
No resolved trades to time.
Performance
📈
Steady Earner
Consistent positive returns. Reliable edge.
Diversity
🎰
Wide net
Many markets. Generalist or scanner.
Strategy verdict
automated · heavy-favorite arbitrage scalper
◆ Profile Statsderived from full trade history
Total BUY trades3,935
Unique markets entered217
Resolved bets
Open positions0
Wins / Losses
Win rate81.8%
Total volume
Net PnL
ROI
◆ Bot signature🤖 likely automated
Median gap0sbetween fills
Sub-10s fills80.9%machine-tempo
Hour coverage100%of UTC hours
Peak UTC hour02:00878 trades
◆ Sizing
Median bet$5
Mean bet$105
P95 bet$493
Max bet$10.0K
Top 5% share68.6%of total notional
◆ Entry price distribution
≥ 95¢ (favorite)92.3%penny carry
30¢–70¢ (mid)5.0%directional
< 30¢ (longshot)0.9%lottery tickets
◆ Concentration
Top market share14.2%of total notional
Both-sides rateof markets hedged
Active days8/ 25d span
Trades / active day500
◆ By Daycounted on closing date · last 8 active days
DateBuysClosedOpenW/LSpentPnLHold
2026-05-20110W/0L
2026-05-1917170W/0L
2026-05-1722220W/0L
2026-05-1638380W/0L
2026-05-1530300W/0L
2026-04-28127412740W/0L
2026-04-27113711370W/0L
2026-04-26141614160W/0L
◆ Linked artifactscross-references
0xbbc5zcZ96bne91qq99724dbdc6
whale
0xbbc5zcZ96bne91qq99724dbdc6
0x45bc...978b
Profit / Loss
+$332.9K
All time · per polymarket
55whale score
equity curve appears once recent bets resolve

Where the edge is · win rate by category

🌍 geopolitics
100% ·30
crypto
78% ·911
Portfolio Value
$157.1K
0 open positions · at entry cost
Win Rate82%
Profit Factor
Confidence94%
Population Z+11.9σ
Volume$28.7M
Avg PnL / Prediction+$1.4K
Bets622231 resolved
Markets561
Avg Position$1.0K
active 2mo ago82% WR+$332.9K PnL

Profile & edge

High-conviction whale — large-stake market participant
Elite win rate — 82% across 231 resolved bets
₿ Strongest edge in crypto (78% WR)
2 linked wallets — part of a coordinated cluster

Recent form · last 15 resolutions

15L streak
0/15 won · newest first

Population standing — where this wallet ranks

MarketBetStatusPnL
B
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
3 months ago
Won+$9
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
◆ Methodology

Stats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 20, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.

Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.

Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.

Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.

◆ Track 0xbbc5zcZ96bne91qq99724dbdc6 live · Pro

This report is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.

Live alerts

Push + email on every sized bet from this wallet.

Cluster feed

Real-time tape of every wallet in the funding cluster.

Raw export

Full trade history as CSV — slice it however you want.

◆ More reports
Live
Beta
···v0.1.0
CrowdIntel needs a newer browser

Your device is on iOS 15 or older. CrowdIntel uses features (color-mix, WebGL2, modern auth) that require iOS 16+ / Safari 16+.

iPhone 7 maxes out at iOS 15, so the site can't render here. Open CrowdIntel on a desktop browser or a newer phone.

crowdintel.xyz

◆ legacy browser fallback