Live
◆ CrowdIntel · Trader Report · Vol 024May 20, 2026

Trader Report — Flipadelphia

Flipadelphia·live profile →
◆ Summary

Flipadelphia has settled 79 bets on Polymarket at a 64.6% win rate for +$290K of net P&L, on $50.01M of total volume. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 50s between fills, 31% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.

The edge

Classified as a whale ($50.01M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is wide net. Capital distribution is balanced across price bands — neither concentrated arbitrage nor pure longshot betting. Spread across 337 unique markets across 5 categories — diversified across the order book. 8-signal classification: automated · tape-reading scalper.

◆ Trader Profile4-axis archetype
Size
🐳
Whale
Market moves when this one does.
Style
Unknown style
No resolved trades to time.
Performance
📈
Steady Earner
Consistent positive returns. Reliable edge.
Diversity
🎰
Wide net
Many markets. Generalist or scanner.
Strategy verdict
automated · tape-reading scalper
◆ Profile Statsderived from full trade history
Total BUY trades2,997
Unique markets entered337
Resolved bets
Open positions0
Wins / Losses
Win rate64.6%
Total volume
Net PnL
ROI
◆ Bot signature🤖 likely automated
Median gap50sbetween fills
Sub-10s fills31.0%machine-tempo
Hour coverage100%of UTC hours
Peak UTC hour13:00288 trades
◆ Sizing
Median bet$12
Mean bet$361
P95 bet$1.5K
Max bet$47.1K
Top 5% share68.2%of total notional
◆ Entry price distribution
≥ 95¢ (favorite)45.7%penny carry
30¢–70¢ (mid)36.4%directional
< 30¢ (longshot)4.0%lottery tickets
◆ Concentration
Top market share20.8%of total notional
Both-sides rate5.7%of markets hedged
Active days31/ 45d span
Trades / active day129
◆ By Daycounted on closing date · last 30 active days
DateBuysClosedOpenW/LSpentPnLHold
2026-05-1953530W/0L
2026-05-182322320W/0L
2026-05-1735350W/0L
2026-05-161281280W/0L
2026-05-1543430W/0L
2026-05-03110W/0L
2026-05-02110W/0L
2026-04-2817170W/0L
2026-04-2698980W/0L
2026-04-2535350W/0L
2026-04-2472720W/0L
2026-04-2360600W/0L
2026-04-22440W/0L
2026-04-212312310W/0L
2026-04-2083830W/0L
2026-04-191291290W/0L
2026-04-1861610W/0L
2026-04-171901900W/0L
2026-04-1671710W/0L
2026-04-151451450W/0L
2026-04-1479790W/0L
2026-04-13330W/0L
2026-04-122822820W/0L
2026-04-111421420W/0L
2026-04-101501500W/0L
2026-04-091581580W/0L
2026-04-081531530W/0L
2026-04-0712011190W/1L$1.1K-$1.1K
2026-04-06161481131W/47L$5.0K-$4.9K
2026-04-05609511W/8L$3.5K-$3.0K
◆ Linked artifactscross-references
Flipadelphia
whale
Flipadelphia
0x4488...e319
Profit / Loss
+$289.5K
All time · per polymarket
40whale score
equity curve appears once recent bets resolve

Where the edge is · win rate by category

🏛️ us politics
100% ·66
other
100% ·22
🌍 geopolitics
94% ·41
sports
57% ·67
Portfolio Value
$193.6K
0 open positions · at entry cost
Win Rate65%
Profit Factor
Confidence89%
Population Z+3.0σ
Volume$50.0M
Avg PnL / Prediction+$3.7K
Bets75179 resolved
Markets748
Avg Position$17.4K
active 2mo ago65% WR+$289.5K PnL

Profile & edge

High-conviction whale — large-stake market participant
Strong win rate — 65% across 79 resolved bets
🌍 Strongest edge in geopolitics (94% WR)

Recent form · last 15 resolutions

15L streak
0/15 won · newest first

Population standing — where this wallet ranks

MarketBetStatusPnL
W
Will Joshua Jefferson win the 2026 Outstanding Player of the tournament for the 2026 Mens NCAA Tournament?
3 months ago
Won+$2
W
Will Joshua Jefferson win the 2026 Outstanding Player of the tournament for the 2026 Mens NCAA Tournament?
3 months ago
Won+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
?
Market loading…
3 months ago
Lost+$0
C
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5
3 months ago
Lost+$0
C
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5
3 months ago
Lost+$0
C
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5
3 months ago
Lost+$0
C
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5
3 months ago
Lost+$0
C
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5
3 months ago
Lost+$0
C
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5
3 months ago
Lost+$0
C
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5
3 months ago
Lost+$0
C
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5
3 months ago
Lost+$0
C
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5
3 months ago
Lost+$0
C
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5
3 months ago
Lost+$0
C
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5
3 months ago
Lost+$0
C
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5
3 months ago
Lost+$0
C
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5
3 months ago
Lost+$0
C
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5
3 months ago
Lost+$0
C
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5
3 months ago
Lost+$0
C
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5
3 months ago
Lost+$0
C
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5
3 months ago
Lost+$0
C
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5
3 months ago
Lost+$0
C
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5
3 months ago
Lost+$0
C
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5
3 months ago
Lost+$0
C
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5
3 months ago
Lost+$0
C
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5
3 months ago
Lost+$0
C
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5
3 months ago
Lost+$0
C
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5
3 months ago
Lost+$0
◆ Methodology

Stats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 20, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.

Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.

Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.

Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.

◆ Track Flipadelphia live · Pro

This report is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.

Live alerts

Push + email on every sized bet from this wallet.

Cluster feed

Real-time tape of every wallet in the funding cluster.

Raw export

Full trade history as CSV — slice it however you want.

◆ More reports
Live
Beta
···v0.1.0
CrowdIntel needs a newer browser

Your device is on iOS 15 or older. CrowdIntel uses features (color-mix, WebGL2, modern auth) that require iOS 16+ / Safari 16+.

iPhone 7 maxes out at iOS 15, so the site can't render here. Open CrowdIntel on a desktop browser or a newer phone.

crowdintel.xyz

◆ legacy browser fallback