CrowdIntelTrader Report — archaic
archaic has settled 405 bets on Polymarket at a 68.1% win rate for +$150K of net P&L, on $23.76M of total volume. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 2s between fills, 63% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.
Classified as a whale ($23.76M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is wide net. Capital distribution is balanced across price bands — neither concentrated arbitrage nor pure longshot betting. Spread across 181 unique markets across 3 categories — diversified across the order book. 8-signal classification: automated · tape-reading scalper.
| Date | Buys | Closed | Open | W/L | Spent | PnL | Hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 | 5 | — | 5 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-05-18 | 38 | — | 38 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-05-17 | 20 | — | 20 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-05-16 | 62 | — | 62 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-05-15 | 117 | — | 117 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-05-02 | 2 | — | 2 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-28 | 80 | — | 80 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-27 | 111 | — | 111 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-26 | 28 | — | 28 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-25 | 254 | — | 254 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-24 | 52 | — | 52 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-23 | 167 | — | 167 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-22 | 66 | — | 66 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-21 | 523 | — | 523 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-20 | 87 | — | 87 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-19 | 52 | — | 52 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-18 | 110 | — | 110 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-17 | 68 | — | 68 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-16 | 57 | — | 57 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-15 | 421 | — | 421 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-14 | 73 | — | 73 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
whaleWhere the edge is · win rate by category
Profile & edge
Recent form · last 10 resolutions
Population standing — where this wallet ranks
| Market | Bet | Status | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
W Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? 3 months ago | — | Won | +$80 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
? Market loading… 3 months ago | — | Lost | +$0 |
W Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? 3 months ago | — | Lost | -$12 |
D Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026? 3 months ago | — | Lost | -$13 |
W Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? 3 months ago | — | Lost | -$20 |
W Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? 3 months ago | — | Lost | -$95 |
Stats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 20, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.
Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.
Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.
Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.
This report is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.
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Real-time tape of every wallet in the funding cluster.
Full trade history as CSV — slice it however you want.
superbeter007 has settled 32 bets on Polymarket at a 65.6% win rate for +$135K of net P&L, on $1.59M of total volume. 91% of capital lives in the 30–70¢ mid-band — directional bets on uncertain outcomes. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 0s between fills, 71% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.
Maximus22 has settled 66 bets on Polymarket at a 72.7% win rate for +$144K of net P&L, on $30.29M of total volume.
Pondermint has settled 45 bets on Polymarket at a 75.6% win rate for +$144K of net P&L, on $7.66M of total volume. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 58s between fills, 25% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.