CrowdIntelTrader Report — scottilicious
scottilicious has settled 72 bets on Polymarket at a 62.5% win rate for +$1.54M of net P&L, on $63.52M of total volume. 64% of capital sits at ≥95¢ entry — penny-carry on near-certain outcomes, not informational edge. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 14s between fills, 45% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.
Classified as a whale ($63.52M in lifetime volume) running a unknown style style; performance reads as steady earner; book diversity is wide net. The price-band distribution is the tell: 64% of capital deployed at ≥95¢ is the shape of a structural-edge arbitrage scalper, not a wallet trading on information. Each individual bet returns 1–3% on capital with near-certain probability; the P&L is the cumulative spread capture. Spread across 235 unique markets across 4 categories — diversified across the order book. 8-signal classification: automated · tape-reading scalper.
| Date | Buys | Closed | Open | W/L | Spent | PnL | Hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | 3 | — | 3 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-05-22 | 21 | — | 21 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-05-21 | 1 | — | 1 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-05-18 | 1 | — | 1 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-05-16 | 17 | — | 17 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-28 | 1 | — | 1 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-25 | 1 | — | 1 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-24 | 6 | — | 6 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-22 | 1 | — | 1 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-21 | 7 | — | 7 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-20 | 1 | — | 1 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-19 | 7 | — | 7 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-18 | 15 | — | 15 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-17 | 7 | — | 7 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-16 | 4 | — | 4 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-13 | 5 | — | 5 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-12 | 10 | — | 10 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-11 | 15 | — | 15 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-10 | 1 | — | 1 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-08 | 14 | 3 | 14 | 3W/0L | $6.5K | +$2.2K | 1979.8d |
| 2026-04-07 | 1 | — | 1 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-05 | 4 | — | 4 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-03 | 6 | — | 6 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-02 | 2 | — | 2 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-04-01 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 3W/0L | $117.1K | +$2.7K | 17.3d |
| 2026-03-31 | 3 | — | 3 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-03-30 | 1 | — | 1 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-03-29 | 2 | — | 2 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
| 2026-03-28 | — | 2 | — | 2W/0L | $5.2K | +$1.2K | 2.9d |
| 2026-03-27 | 1 | — | 1 | 0W/0L | — | — | — |
whaleWhere the edge is · win rate by category
Profile & edge
Population standing — where this wallet ranks
| Market | Bet | Status | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
W Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? 3 months ago | — | Lost | -$15 |
W Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? 3 months ago | — | Lost | -$120 |
Stats in this report are a frozen snapshot taken on May 26, 2026. The live wallet profile reflects current numbers — they will diverge over time.
Win rate is computed on resolved Polymarket bets only. P&L uses on-chain entry costs vs resolution outcomes from market_outcomes. Win-rate alone is not a finding; we look at the difference between scope win-rate and the wallet's global rate (edge), combined with p-value vs a null model and signed P&L.
Funding clusters are detected by USDC lineage traced through Polygonscan. Time clusters are wallets that placed sized bets on the same condition within a 60-minute window. Cluster membership is a signal, not an accusation — read the full methodology for caveats.
Sources: Polygon on-chain (Subsquid indexer), Polymarket Gamma API for market metadata, Polygonscan for USDC funding traces.
This report is a frozen snapshot. Get notified when this trader opens new positions, watch their co-trader cluster move in real time, and export the raw trade history.
Push + email on every sized bet from this wallet.
Real-time tape of every wallet in the funding cluster.
Full trade history as CSV — slice it however you want.
superbeter007 has settled 32 bets on Polymarket at a 65.6% win rate for +$135K of net P&L, on $1.59M of total volume. 91% of capital lives in the 30–70¢ mid-band — directional bets on uncertain outcomes. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 0s between fills, 71% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.
Maximus22 has settled 66 bets on Polymarket at a 72.7% win rate for +$144K of net P&L, on $30.29M of total volume.
Pondermint has settled 45 bets on Polymarket at a 75.6% win rate for +$144K of net P&L, on $7.66M of total volume. Trade rhythm flags automation: median 58s between fills, 25% sub-10s, active across 100% of UTC hours.