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CrowdIntel/ wallet
Case file · Apr 27 · 2026
◆ Wallet dossier · unknown
Share Polygonscan

0xf041…dde5
Polymarket operator. Still bleeding.

on polymarket· funded by0x56c2…8a8b· 7 resolved bets
🔮
Trader archetype
The Oracle
Specialist intel. Bets where others don't dare. · specialist in geopolitics
Verdict
Bleeding hard
Down badly — bag of pure misery.
Win rate
100%
PnL
-$26.6K
Volume
$1.4M
Account age
—
◆ Live book$286.0K at risk · 22 open positions
NoUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
@ 72¢$2.2K
NoUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
@ 79¢$790
NoKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
@ 88¢$2.2K
NoUS x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
@ 64¢$275
NoWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
@ 77¢$1.5K
NoWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
@ 85¢$1.3K
NoWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
@ 87¢$2.4K
YesWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
@ 12¢$6.1K
◆ Track record
Top calls
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?+$836
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?+$489
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?+$279
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?+$204
Recent events
WINIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?+$489
LOSSIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?-$56
LOSSUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?-$9
WINUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?+$836
LOSSUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?-$2
LOSSUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?-$14
LOSSUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?-$6
LOSSUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?-$9
WINKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?+$204
LOSSKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?-$29
◆ Category edgeWhere the edge lives
🌍geopolitics26%+$4.6K
◆ PnL evolutionCumulative profit over time · 90-day activity heatmap
Last 90 days
loss none win
◆ Funding cluster20 funding-linked · 0 timing-linked
◆ Cluster intelInvestigations this wallet's funder appears in
us-politics·3 wallets·94% WRfinance·2 wallets·75% WRtech·2 wallets·80% WRcrypto·15 wallets·98% WRgeopolitics·7 wallets·90% WR
◆ ActivityAlerts · trades · breakdowns
Score WalletMarketBet PositionPrice ResultWin Rate PnL When
35
0xf041…dde5
M
$1,321YES100c
LOSS$
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35
0xf041…dde5
M
$1,321YES100c
LOSS$
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crowdintel.xyz/whales/0xf0411ab604bce8a4efe71b77c2e0aa454bdedde5@CrowdIntelXYZ
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