3 wallets.
One hand.

Funded by0x56c2…8a8b· 20 bets · $100.9K routed

3 wallets funded by 0x56c2...8a8b placed 16 bets on us-politics markets. 15 of 16 resolved bets won (94%). Average entry odds: 50%. Total volume: $101K. Probability of this occurring by chance: 0.026%.

Bayesian win rate

75%

Confidence

50%

Z-score

2.71σ

Cluster PnL

+$22.5K

◆ Cluster highlightsDerived from wallet roster

Bucked consensus

0 wins

avg bet $5.0K

◆ Funding mapEdges = funding tx · center = funder

◆ Wallet roster3 linked · click to open dossier

Wallet	Bets	Win rate	PnL
ColdConviction	5	100%	+$21.9K
Norris45	4	50%	-$6
Graham132	11	82%	+$639

◆ Markets touchedTop 6 by volume

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

$198.9K routed· 197% of cluster

Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?

$161.5K routed· 160% of cluster

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

$114.2K routed· 113% of cluster

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

$94.6K routed· 94% of cluster

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

$94.5K routed· 94% of cluster

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

$89.9K routed· 89% of cluster

Live

Beta

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