Live
Investigations
CrowdIntel/ dossier
Issue №009 · Mar 25 · 2026
◆ Cluster intel · geopolitics

7 wallets.
One hand.

Funded by0x56c2…8a8b· 253 bets · $922.8K routed

Cluster of 216 wallets funded by 0x56c26... with 7 wallets showing 70%+ win rates on geopolitics bets. The top wallet has 100% win rate on 5 resolved bets with $86K profit, averaging $28K per bet on geopolitics markets. Another wallet in the network has 100% win rate across 20 resolved bets with $44K profit. Combined cluster profit: $922K with an average win rate of 82% across the full network. Wallets in this cluster bet heavily on Iran military operations and Middle East conflict resolution markets.

Wallets
7
Win rate
76%
Volume
$922.8K
By chance
<0.01%
Bayesian win rate
76%
Confidence
93%
Z-score
8.79σ
Cluster PnL
+$180.0K
◆ Cluster highlightsDerived from wallet roster
Bucked consensus
55 wins
avg bet $3.6K
◆ Funding mapEdges = funding tx · center = funder
◆ Wallet roster7 linked · click to open dossier
WalletBetsWin rateCC winsStreakPnL
0x86cd…504c5100%4 W5+$78.5K
thisnotfortheradio8672%18 W7+$8.3K
Comebackbot5573%10 W5+$91.2K
0x2687…13632295%8 W20+$35.0K
0x26f8…34524670%6 W4-$12.2K
0x0a8cD4126356fbbf7a3664A17fa6e216d647F872-17686426314032075%4 W7-$12.2K
itsvini1989%5 W9-$8.6K
◆ Markets touchedTop 6 by volume
crowdintel.xyz/investigations/9@CrowdIntelXYZ
Live
Beta
···v0.1.0