CrowdIntel/ dossier
Issue №009 · Mar 25 · 2026
◆ Cluster intel · geopolitics
7 wallets.
One hand.
Cluster of 216 wallets funded by 0x56c26... with 7 wallets showing 70%+ win rates on geopolitics bets. The top wallet has 100% win rate on 5 resolved bets with $86K profit, averaging $28K per bet on geopolitics markets. Another wallet in the network has 100% win rate across 20 resolved bets with $44K profit. Combined cluster profit: $922K with an average win rate of 82% across the full network. Wallets in this cluster bet heavily on Iran military operations and Middle East conflict resolution markets.
Bayesian win rate
76%
Confidence
93%
Z-score
8.79σ
Cluster PnL
+$180.0K
◆ Cluster highlights
Bucked consensus
55 wins
avg bet $3.6K
◆ Funding map
◆ Wallet roster
| Wallet | Bets | Win rate | CC wins | Streak | PnL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x86cd…504c | 5 | 100% | 4 | W5 | +$78.5K | |
| thisnotfortheradio | 86 | 72% | 18 | W7 | +$8.3K | |
| Comebackbot | 55 | 73% | 10 | W5 | +$91.2K | |
| 0x2687…1363 | 22 | 95% | 8 | W20 | +$35.0K | |
| 0x26f8…3452 | 46 | 70% | 6 | W4 | -$12.2K | |
| 0x0a8cD4126356fbbf7a3664A17fa6e216d647F872-1768642631403 | 20 | 75% | 4 | W7 | -$12.2K | |
| itsvini | 19 | 89% | 5 | W9 | -$8.6K |
◆ Markets touched



