Live
Back to Trending
U

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?

View on PolymarketgeopoliticsActiveWhales BULLISH(70)
Volume
$561,205
Total Bets
9370
Unique Traders
1284
Avg Price
51c
Buy / Sell
65%/35%
Alerts
29
Volume Sentiment
YES 367.2K
NO 194K
Smart Money Intelligence
Whale Sentiment
BULLISH
70 whales
Whale Volume
259.3K
YES 65% / NO 35%
Avg Holder WR
54%
19 with data
First trade: 17 days agoLast: 12 minutes ago
WalletScoreSideSizeWhen
MED 35YES$596about 1 hour ago
HIGH 50NO$321about 2 hours ago
MED 40NO$37412 days ago
MED 40NO$13212 days ago
MED 40NO$13212 days ago
MED 40YES$195about 10 hours ago
MED 40NO$95012 days ago
MED 40YES$555about 18 hours ago
MED 40YES$676about 19 hours ago
MED 40YES$190about 19 hours ago
MED 40NO$793about 20 hours ago
MED 40NO$127about 20 hours ago
MED 25YES$683about 22 hours ago
MED 40NO$1,077about 22 hours ago
MED 40YES$3701 day ago
MED 40YES$3041 day ago
MED 40YES$3801 day ago
MED 40YES$6151 day ago
MED 40YES$6151 day ago
MED 40YES$8101 day ago
MED 40NO$1041 day ago
MED 40NO$1061 day ago
MED 40NO$1,5851 day ago
MED 40YES$4201 day ago
HIGH 50YES$1311 day ago
MED 40YES$4441 day ago
MED 40YES$2201 day ago
MED 25NO$6004 days ago
MED 25NO$2704 days ago
WalletSidePriceSizeTime
0x30e45102YES34¢$512 minutes ago
0x1c97be02NO66¢$1012 minutes ago
0x6b1c5fe8YES35¢$328 minutes ago
0x1cfc2111NO65¢$4528 minutes ago
0xa4e06392NO65¢$5028 minutes ago
0x6b1c5fe8YES35¢$139 minutes ago
0xcc32e24fNO65¢$139 minutes ago
0x6b1c5fe8YES35¢$443 minutes ago
0x198a3ca3YES35¢$443 minutes ago
0x0f185b28YES35¢$8about 1 hour ago
0x1cfc2111NO65¢$98about 1 hour ago
0x066d07bcNO65¢$114about 1 hour ago
0x0f185b28YES35¢$5about 1 hour ago
0xec3d0a55YES35¢$5about 1 hour ago
0x73621e3aNO64¢$115about 1 hour ago
0x6b1c5fe8YES36¢$4about 1 hour ago
0xec3d0a55YES36¢$5about 1 hour ago
0x62cf5826YES36¢$73about 1 hour ago
0x73621e3aNO64¢$8about 1 hour ago
0x26af88f6YES36¢$5about 1 hour ago

About this market

1,284 whale wallets have traded "US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?" on Polymarket, moving $561K in CrowdIntel-tracked volume across 9370 recorded trades. Buy-side orders account for 65% of that volume — a snapshot of how whale capital is positioned, not the market's settled odds.

The largest tracked position belongs to SeniorLaghetto at $33K. CrowdIntel has flagged 29 trades on this market as potential insider activity. Every whale, funding source, win rate and PnL figure is traced on-chain from Polygon, so the full trader leaderboard for this market is independently verifiable on CrowdIntel — free, no login required.

Live
Beta
···v0.1.0
CrowdIntel needs a newer browser

Your device is on iOS 15 or older. CrowdIntel uses features (color-mix, WebGL2, modern auth) that require iOS 16+ / Safari 16+.

iPhone 7 maxes out at iOS 15, so the site can't render here. Open CrowdIntel on a desktop browser or a newer phone.

crowdintel.xyz

◆ legacy browser fallback