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CrowdIntel/ wallet
Case file · Apr 27 · 2026
◆ Wallet dossier · whale

Warren-Buffett · 0x4478…02a4
Heavy hand. Still printing.

on polymarket· funded by0xf70d…dbef· 22 resolved bets
🔮
Trader archetype
The Oracle
Specialist intel. Bets where others don't dare. · specialist in geopolitics
Win rate
91%
PnL
+$41.9K
Volume
$3.9M
Account age
◆ Live book$462.4K at risk · 327 open positions
@ 81¢$81
@ 94¢$94
@ 97¢$444
@ 100¢$457
@ 82¢$71
@ 100¢$6.5K
@ 29¢$42
@ 96¢$24.4K
◆ Track record
Top calls
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?+$1.6K
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?+$1.1K
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?+$369
Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?+$169
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 29, 2026?+$76
Recent events
WINWill Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?+$15
LOSSWill Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?-$91
WINWill Iran strike Bahrain again in March?+$2
WINWill Iran strike Bahrain again in March?+$3
WINWill Trump's remarks not air?+$2
WINJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?+$369
WINWill Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by March 31?+$30
WINWill Iran strike East–West Crude Oil Pipeline by March 31?+$6
WINTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?+$1.6K
WINWill Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by March 31?+$2
◆ Category edgeWhere the edge lives
🌍geopolitics83%+$1.8K
◆ PnL evolutionCumulative profit over time · 90-day activity heatmap
Last 90 days
loss none win
◆ Funding cluster20 funding-linked · 20 timing-linked
◆ Cluster intelInvestigations this wallet's funder appears in
◆ ActivityAlerts · trades · breakdowns
Score WalletMarketBet PositionPrice ResultWin Rate PnL When
50
0x4478…02a4
U
$123YES22c
Pending
50
0x4478…02a4
W
$480NO96c
Pending
50
0x4478…02a4
S
$709YES48c
Pending
50
0x4478…02a4
T
$1,381NO90c
Pending
50
0x4478…02a4
T
$132YES1c
Pending
50
0x4478…02a4
W
$121NO90c
Pending
50
0x4478…02a4
W
$754YES83c
Pending
50
0x4478…02a4
W
$879YES44c
Pending
50
0x4478…02a4
W
$232YES9c
Pending
50
0x4478…02a4
E
$182NO91c
Pending
50
0x4478…02a4
S
$1,983NO39c
Pending
50
0x4478…02a4
U
$1,400YES14c
Pending
50
0x4478…02a4
W
$611YES8c
Pending
50
0x4478…02a4
W
$191YES14c
Pending
50
0x4478…02a4
S
$3,051YES23c
Pending
50
0x4478…02a4
U
$4,384YES18c
Pending
50
0x4478…02a4
U
$4,796YES19c
Pending
50
0x4478…02a4
T
$729YES9c
Pending
50
0x4478…02a4
U
$916YES20c
Pending
50
0x4478…02a4
S
$1,048NO96c
Pending
64
0x4478…02a4
U
$4,796YES19c
Pending
64
0x4478…02a4
U
$4,384YES18c
Pending
25
0x4478…02a4
S
$3,051YES23c
Pending
64
0x4478…02a4
U
$1,400YES14c
Pending
49
0x4478…02a4
U
$1,848YES37c
Pending
49
0x4478…02a4
U
$3,850YES39c
Pending
49
0x4478…02a4
U
$1,336YES39c
Pending
49
0x4478…02a4
I
$1,680YES70c
Pending
35
0x4478…02a4
U
$2,130NO71c
Pending
58
0x4478…02a4
T
$1,620YES25c
Pending
68
0x4478…02a4
T
$2,393YES9c
Pending
25
0x4478…02a4
S
$2,500YES25c
Pending
39
0x4478…02a4
U
$1,140YES57c
Pending
24
0x4478…02a4
U
$3,924YES98c
Pending
74
0x4478…02a4
R
$1,800YES30c
Pending
34
0x4478…02a4
U
$4,975YES100c
Pending
44
0x4478…02a4
U
$29,730YES99c
Pending
74
0x4478…02a4
U
$2,100YES21c
Pending
49
0x4478…02a4
U
$1,320YES44c
Pending
74
0x4478…02a4
U
$1,600YES16c
Pending
crowdintel.xyz/whales/0x4478d7bd8a295691ac84f60a5ec2b47e122102a4@CrowdIntelXYZ
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