CrowdIntel/ wallet
Case file · Apr 28 · 2026
◆ Wallet dossier · unknown
il1 · 0x198a…3ca3
Polymarket operator. Still bleeding.
🐋
Trader archetype
The Whale
Market-moving capital. Volume is the message.
Verdict
Bleeding hard
Down badly — bag of pure misery.
9W
in a row
◆ Live book

YesWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
@ 93¢$419W
NoWill Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
@ 95¢$237
NoWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
@ 92¢$184W
NoWill Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
@ 77¢$41
NoKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
@ 96¢$1.3K
YesWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
@ 63¢$126I
YesIran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
@ 79¢$237P
NoPakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by April 30?
@ 30¢$15◆ Track record
Top calls
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?+$45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?+$34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?+$33
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?+$24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?+$6
Recent events
WINKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?+$24
WINKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?+$3
WINWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?+$3
WINWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?+$1
WINWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?+$6
WINWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?+$34
WINWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?+$33
WINWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?+$3
WINWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?+$2
LOSSWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?-$16
◆ Category edge
🌍geopolitics44%+$9
◆ PnL evolution
Last 90 days
loss none win
◆ Funding cluster
◆ Cluster intel
◆ Activity
| Score | Wallet | Market | Bet | Position | Price | Result | Win Rate | PnL | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
49 | 0x198a…3ca3 | W | $2,931 | NO | 98c | Pending | — | — | — |
69 | 0x198a…3ca3 | U | $4,990 | YES | 100c | Pending | — | — | — |
64 | 0x198a…3ca3 | W | $1,970 | NO | 99c | Pending | — | — | — |
44 | 0x198a…3ca3 | W | $2,730 | NO | 91c | Pending | — | — | — |
74 | 0x198a…3ca3 | U | $9,970 | YES | 100c | Pending | — | — | — |
