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CrowdIntel/ wallet
Case file · Apr 28 · 2026
◆ Wallet dossier · unknown

il1 · 0x198a…3ca3
Polymarket operator. Still bleeding.

on polymarket· funded by0xe780…e245· 5 resolved bets
🐋
Trader archetype
The Whale
Market-moving capital. Volume is the message.
Verdict
Bleeding hard
Down badly — bag of pure misery.
Win rate
60%
PnL
-$14.9K
Volume
$1.3M
Account age
9W
in a row
◆ Live book$429.1K at risk · 61 open positions
YesWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
@ 93¢$419
W
NoWill Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
@ 95¢$237
NoWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
@ 92¢$184
W
NoWill Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
@ 77¢$41
NoKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
@ 96¢$1.3K
YesWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
@ 63¢$126
I
YesIran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
@ 79¢$237
P
NoPakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by April 30?
@ 30¢$15
◆ Track record
Top calls
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?+$45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?+$34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?+$33
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?+$24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?+$6
Recent events
WINKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?+$24
WINKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?+$3
WINWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?+$3
WINWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?+$1
WINWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?+$6
WINWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?+$34
WINWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?+$33
WINWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?+$3
WINWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?+$2
LOSSWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?-$16
◆ Category edgeWhere the edge lives
🌍geopolitics44%+$9
◆ PnL evolutionCumulative profit over time · 90-day activity heatmap
Last 90 days
loss none win
◆ Funding cluster20 funding-linked · 0 timing-linked
◆ Cluster intelInvestigations this wallet's funder appears in
◆ ActivityAlerts · trades · breakdowns
Score WalletMarketBet PositionPrice ResultWin Rate PnL When
49
0x198a…3ca3
W
$2,931NO98c
Pending
69
0x198a…3ca3
U
$4,990YES100c
Pending
64
0x198a…3ca3
W
$1,970NO99c
Pending
44
0x198a…3ca3
W
$2,730NO91c
Pending
74
0x198a…3ca3
U
$9,970YES100c
Pending
crowdintel.xyz/whales/0x198a843b90e1a52d573c6021e2bd6c5d1a093ca3@CrowdIntelXYZ
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Beta
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