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Case file · Apr 27 · 2026
◆ Wallet dossier · whale

0xfb51…742d
Heavy hand. Still bleeding.

on polymarket· funded by0x9c2b…d82a· 61 resolved bets
🗿
Trader archetype
The Chad
Statistically superior. Methodically profitable.
Verdict
Bleeding hard
Down badly — bag of pure misery.
Win rate
89%
PnL
-$60.2K
Volume
$7.8M
Account age
◆ Live book$453.3K at risk · 54 open positions
B
Ben SheltonBMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Ben Shelton
@ 71¢$813
B
Ben SheltonBMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Ben Shelton
@ 72¢$282
NoMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
@ 41¢$109
NoMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
@ 43¢$145
YesMilitary action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
@ 98¢$4.0K
B
Lorenzo SonegoBarcelona Open: Pedro Martinez vs Lorenzo Sonego
@ 70¢$1.7K
Miomir KecmanovicBMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Miomir Kecmanovic
@ 30¢$294
YesWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
@ 58¢$5.4K
◆ Track record
Top calls
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$1.7K
US forces enter Iran by March 31?+$1.6K
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-04-05?+$207
US forces enter Iran by March 31?+$135
US forces enter Iran by March 31?+$123
Recent events
WINWill Angers SCO win on 2026-04-05?+$207
WINUS forces enter Iran by March 31?+$123
LOSSUS forces enter Iran by March 31?-$82
LOSSUS forces enter Iran by March 31?-$538
LOSSUS forces enter Iran by March 31?-$622
LOSSUS forces enter Iran by March 31?-$245
WINUS forces enter Iran by March 31?+$135
LOSSUS forces enter Iran by March 31?-$180
WINUS forces enter Iran by March 31?+$6
LOSSUS forces enter Iran by March 31?-$911
◆ Category edgeWhere the edge lives
sports81%+$16.4K
🏛us-politics50%+$721
🌍geopolitics10%+$1.8K
◆ PnL evolutionCumulative profit over time · 90-day activity heatmap
Last 90 days
loss none win
◆ Funding cluster19 funding-linked · 0 timing-linked
◆ ActivityAlerts · trades · breakdowns
Score WalletMarketBet PositionPrice ResultWin Rate PnL When
55
0xfb51…742d
B
$1,055NO65c
Pending
55
0xfb51…742d
W
$654YES42c
Pending
55
0xfb51…742d
W
$3,766YES69c
Pending
55
0xfb51…742d
I
$4,791NO96c
Pending
55
0xfb51…742d
B
$282NO72c
Pending
55
0xfb51…742d
B
$813NO71c
Pending
65
0xfb51…742d
I
$6,616NO94c
Pending
55
0xfb51…742d
I
$4,187NO93c
Pending
55
0xfb51…742d
K
$4,083NO95c
Pending
20
0xfb51…742d
R
$1,014NO29c
Pending
30
0xfb51…742d
U
$1,565NO25c
Pending
55
0xfb51…742d
W
$2,768NO87c
Pending
65
0xfb51…742d
U
$9,840NO98c
Pending
65
0xfb51…742d
U
$5,042NO97c
Pending
84
0xfb51…742d
U
$18,125NO95c
Pending
55
0xfb51…742d
U
$1,401NO94c
Pending
55
0xfb51…742d
U
$2,284NO95c
Pending
45
0xfb51…742d
U
$6,404NO82c
Pending
55
0xfb51…742d
W
$4,801NO99c
LOSS$
74
0xfb51…742d
U
$282NO78c
Pending
74
0xfb51…742d
U
$857NO78c
Pending
74
0xfb51…742d
U
$1,796NO77c
Pending
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