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Case file · Apr 28 · 2026
◆ Wallet dossier · whale
Share Polygonscan

0xc851…cd2a
Heavy hand. Still printing.

on polymarket· funded by0x1929…d215· 3 resolved bets
Verdict
Printing
Up bigly — wallet on a heater.
Win rate
67%
PnL
+$771.8K
Volume
$28.9M
Account age
—
5W
in a row
◆ Live book$280.6K at risk · 7 open positions
YesUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
@ 22¢$2.1K
NoUS forces enter Iran by April 30?
@ 36¢$38.5K
NoUS forces enter Iran by April 30?
@ 1¢$129
YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
@ 18¢$1.6K
W
NoWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
@ 37¢$3.2K
NoIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
@ 64¢$6.9K
NoUS forces enter Iran by December 31?
@ 25¢$7.1K
◆ Track record
Top calls
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?+$13.4K
US forces enter Iran by March 31?+$6.1K
US forces enter Iran by March 31?+$3.5K
US forces enter Iran by March 31?+$2.4K
US forces enter Iran by March 31?+$0
Recent events
WINUS forces enter Iran by March 31?+$6.1K
WINUS forces enter Iran by March 31?+$3.5K
WINUS forces enter Iran by March 31?+$2.4K
WINUS forces enter Iran by March 31?+$0
WINWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?+$13.4K
LOSSWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?-$9.1K
LOSSWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?-$37.3K
◆ Category edgeWhere the edge lives
🌍geopolitics80%+$2.8K
◆ PnL evolutionCumulative profit over time · 90-day activity heatmap
Last 90 days
loss none win
◆ Funding cluster20 funding-linked · 0 timing-linked
◆ Cluster intelInvestigations this wallet's funder appears in
corporate·2 wallets·96% WRtech·2 wallets·96% WRus-politics·4 wallets·95% WRfinance·9 wallets·96% WRcrypto·16 wallets·97% WR
◆ ActivityAlerts · trades · breakdowns
Score WalletMarketBet PositionPrice ResultWin Rate PnL When
25
0xc851…cd2a
S
$1,619YES18c
Pending
———
45
0xc851…cd2a
S
$1,619YES18c
Pending
———
48
0xc851…cd2a
I
$2,029NO63c
Pending
———
45
0xc851…cd2a
I
$2,029NO63c
Pending
———
48
0xc851…cd2a
I
$4,830NO64c
Pending
———
45
0xc851…cd2a
I
$4,830NO64c
Pending
———
73
0xc851…cd2a
U
$2,078YES22c
Pending
———
53
0xc851…cd2a
U
$99,800NO100c
Pending
———
71
0xc851…cd2a
U
$99,800NO100c
Pending
———
75
0xc851…cd2a
U
$7,081NO25c
Pending
———
45
0xc851…cd2a
U
$7,081NO25c
Pending
———
75
0xc851…cd2a
U
$15,000NO30c
Pending
———
40
0xc851…cd2a
U
$15,000NO30c
Pending
———
55
0xc851…cd2a
U
$21,513NO86c
Pending
———
40
0xc851…cd2a
U
$14,620NO86c
Pending
———
40
0xc851…cd2a
W
$85,704NO86c
WIN$
———
crowdintel.xyz/whales/0xc851cd9bee7d262afd78674f861f9f576a12cd2a@CrowdIntelXYZ
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