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CrowdIntel/ wallet
Case file · Apr 27 · 2026
◆ Wallet dossier · whale

Erasmus. · 0xc658…b784
Heavy hand. Still bleeding.

on polymarket· funded by0x8640…ce48· 76 resolved bets
🐋
Trader archetype
The Whale
Market-moving capital. Volume is the message.
Verdict
Bleeding hard
Down badly — bag of pure misery.
Win rate
54%
PnL
-$332.2K
Volume
$125.5M
Account age
◆ Live book$3.1M at risk · 29 open positions
YesIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
@ 90¢$4.4K
U
YesUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
@ 66¢$2.8K
U
YesUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
@ 68¢$11.3K
YesUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
@ 82¢$5.0K
U
YesUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
@ 73¢$1.8K
U
YesUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
@ 77¢$7.7K
NoUS forces enter Iran by April 30?
@ 46¢$9.5K
NoUS forces enter Iran by April 30?
@ 37¢$7.6K
◆ Track record
Top calls
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$19.0K
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$7.2K
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$5.7K
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?+$2.3K
US forces enter Iran by March 31?+$1.6K
Recent events
WINUS forces enter Iran by March 31?+$1.6K
WINUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$19.0K
LOSSUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?-$6.2K
WINUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$7.2K
WINUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$5.7K
WINWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?+$2.3K
◆ Category edgeWhere the edge lives
🌍geopolitics78%+$63.1K
other31%-$36.9K
◆ PnL evolutionCumulative profit over time · 90-day activity heatmap
Last 90 days
loss none win
◆ Funding cluster2 funding-linked · 0 timing-linked
◆ ActivityAlerts · trades · breakdowns
Score WalletMarketBet PositionPrice ResultWin Rate PnL When
35
0xc658…b784
U
$5,147YES33c
Pending
56
0xc658…b784
N
$299,400NO100c
Pending
35
0xc658…b784
U
$3,069NO30c
Pending
40
0xc658…b784
U
$3,069NO30c
Pending
50
0xc658…b784
U
$8,400NO84c
Pending
40
0xc658…b784
U
$4,399NO43c
Pending
25
0xc658…b784
U
$1,386YES32c
Pending
50
0xc658…b784
W
$93,973YES94c
Pending
40
0xc658…b784
W
$28,809NO63c
Pending
50
0xc658…b784
W
$240,114NO80c
Pending
25
0xc658…b784
U
$19,056YES21c
WIN$
25
0xc658…b784
U
$6,239YES23c
LOSS$
25
0xc658…b784
U
$5,697YES22c
WIN$
25
0xc658…b784
U
$7,215YES21c
WIN$
40
0xc658…b784
W
$47,650NO95c
WIN$
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