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Whales
CrowdIntel/ wallet
Case file · Apr 28 · 2026
◆ Wallet dossier · whale

0xc254…3f73
Heavy hand. Still printing.

on polymarket· funded by0x1929…d215· 7 resolved bets
🔮
Trader archetype
The Oracle
Specialist intel. Bets where others don't dare. · specialist in geopolitics
Verdict
Printing
Up bigly — wallet on a heater.
Win rate
100%
PnL
+$186.8K
Volume
$17.7M
Account age
◆ Live book$674.2K at risk · 22 open positions
T
NoTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?
@ 96¢$135
NoJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
@ 26¢$255
NoUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
@ 18¢$178
YesWill Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?
@ 64¢$392
YesWill Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
@ 78¢$2.3K
NoUS forces enter Iran by April 30?
@ 36¢$1.4K
NoUS forces enter Iran by April 30?
@ 0¢$54
YesUS forces enter Iran by April 30?
@ 100¢$12.6K
◆ Track record
Top calls
US forces enter Iran by March 31?+$271
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?+$126
US forces enter Iran by March 31?+$81
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by March 31, 2026?+$1
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by March 31, 2026?+$0
Recent events
WINUS forces enter Iran by March 31?+$271
WINUS forces enter Iran by March 31?+$81
WINJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?+$126
LOSSUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?-$282
LOSSUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?-$2.6K
LOSSUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?-$524
WINAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by March 31, 2026?+$1
WINAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by March 31, 2026?+$0
WINWill Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?+$0
◆ PnL evolutionCumulative profit over time · 90-day activity heatmap
Last 90 days
loss none win
◆ Funding cluster20 funding-linked · 0 timing-linked
◆ Cluster intelInvestigations this wallet's funder appears in
◆ ActivityAlerts · trades · breakdowns
Score WalletMarketBet PositionPrice ResultWin Rate PnL When
33
0xc254…3f73
U
$2,163YES100c
Pending
43
0xc254…3f73
U
$10,402YES100c
Pending
45
0xc254…3f73
U
$10,402YES100c
Pending
33
0xc254…3f73
U
$4,750NO95c
Pending
48
0xc254…3f73
U
$3,411NO64c
Pending
35
0xc254…3f73
U
$2,433NO97c
Pending
35
0xc254…3f73
U
$5,783NO95c
Pending
40
0xc254…3f73
U
$5,783NO95c
Pending
50
0xc254…3f73
W
$2,337YES78c
Pending
40
0xc254…3f73
W
$10,218YES100c
WIN$
crowdintel.xyz/whales/0xc25427ea224b8f9fa2df801233f944006ed33f73@CrowdIntelXYZ
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Beta
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