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Case file · Apr 29 · 2026
◆ Wallet dossier · whale
Share Polygonscan

studmuffin6969 · 0xa8af…325e
Heavy hand. Still printing.

on polymarket· funded by0xb03e…56cb· 99 resolved bets
🐋
Trader archetype
The Whale
Market-moving capital. Volume is the message.
Verdict
Printing
Up bigly — wallet on a heater.
Win rate
53%
PnL
+$105.1K
Volume
$16.7M
Account age
—
◆ Live book$147.7K at risk · 29 open positions
NoKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
@ 99¢$497
NoWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
@ 98¢$2.1K
NoKurds declare independence from Iran?
@ 91¢$455
NoTrump out as President by April 30?
@ 99¢$12.4K
YesWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
@ 96¢$1.9K
YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
@ 99¢$2.5K
NoWill Trump visit China by April 30?
@ 99¢$3.0K
YesUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
@ 99¢$12.1K
◆ Track record
Top calls
Will France strike Iran by March 31?+$13
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?+$12
US forces enter Iran by March 31?+$9
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?+$2
US forces enter Iran by March 31?+$1
Recent events
WINUS forces enter Iran by March 31?+$9
WINUS forces enter Iran by March 31?+$1
LOSSWill Canada strike Iran by March 31?-$19
WINWill France strike Iran by March 31?+$13
LOSS—
LOSS—
LOSS—
LOSS—
LOSS—
WINWill Germany strike Iran by March 31?+$12
◆ Category edgeWhere the edge lives
🌍geopolitics78%+$4.0K
◆ PnL evolutionCumulative profit over time · 90-day activity heatmap
Last 90 days
loss none win
◆ Funding cluster19 funding-linked · 0 timing-linked
◆ Cluster intelInvestigations this wallet's funder appears in
us-politics·1 wallets·99% WRgeopolitics·1 wallets·92% WRfinance·1 wallets·92% WR
◆ ActivityAlerts · trades · breakdowns
Score WalletMarketBet PositionPrice ResultWin Rate PnL When
45
0xa8af…325e
U
$4,980YES100c
Pending
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crowdintel.xyz/whales/0xa8af4c7923857533b687df9bf02115156e3a325e@CrowdIntelXYZ
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