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CrowdIntel/ wallet
Case file · Apr 27 · 2026
◆ Wallet dossier · insider

fearthereaper7 · 0x4aa2…3170
Suspected insider. Still printing.

on polymarket· funded by0xf70d…dbef· 10 resolved bets
🔮
Trader archetype
The Oracle
Specialist intel. Bets where others don't dare. · specialist in geopolitics
Win rate
100%
PnL
+$94.3K
Volume
$1.3M
Account age
◆ Live book$120.3K at risk · 23 open positions
NoWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
@ 91¢$3.8K
NoUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
@ 90¢$4.0K
NoUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
@ 77¢$38.9K
YesUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
@ 5¢$1.1K
YesUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
@ 4¢$2.7K
NoUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
@ 76¢$1.9K
NoUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
@ 81¢$18.5K
NoNetanyahu out by March 31?
@ 99¢$3.0K
◆ Track record
Top calls
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$2.4K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?+$1.1K
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?+$1.0K
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$1.0K
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$673
Recent events
WINUS forces enter Iran by March 31?+$439
LOSSIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?-$75
WINIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?+$1.0K
LOSSUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?-$12
WINUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$2.4K
WINUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$1.0K
WINUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$673
LOSSUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?-$198
LOSSWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?-$33
WINKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?+$1.1K
◆ Category edgeWhere the edge lives
🌍geopolitics46%+$28.9K
◆ PnL evolutionCumulative profit over time · 90-day activity heatmap
Last 90 days
loss none win
◆ Funding cluster20 funding-linked · 0 timing-linked
◆ Cluster intelInvestigations this wallet's funder appears in
◆ ActivityAlerts · trades · breakdowns
Score WalletMarketBet PositionPrice ResultWin Rate PnL When
59
0x4aa2…3170
U
$16,348NO61c
Pending
74
0x4aa2…3170
U
$2,074YES4c
Pending
49
0x4aa2…3170
U
$4,242NO71c
Pending
59
0x4aa2…3170
U
$11,314NO80c
Pending
74
0x4aa2…3170
U
$1,091YES5c
Pending
44
0x4aa2…3170
U
$22,585NO95c
Pending
59
0x4aa2…3170
U
$7,202NO82c
Pending
50
0x4aa2…3170
U
$1,900NO76c
Pending
50
0x4aa2…3170
U
$1,123NO89c
Pending
50
0x4aa2…3170
U
$1,818NO90c
Pending
35
0x4aa2…3170
U
$28,204NO100c
LOSS$
25
0x4aa2…3170
U
$440YES6c
Pending
crowdintel.xyz/whales/0x4aa2661df2285ad3e17f4267c3469785d7ef3170@CrowdIntelXYZ
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