CrowdIntel/ dossier
Issue №012 · Mar 25 · 2026
◆ Cluster intel · geopolitics
30 wallets.
One hand.
30 wallets funded by 0xf70d...dbef placed 829 bets on geopolitics markets. 720 of 829 resolved bets won (87%). Average entry odds: 50%. Total volume: $7.0M. Probability of this occurring by chance: <0.001%.
Bayesian win rate
70%
Confidence
99%
Z-score
20.97σ
Cluster PnL
+$1.2M
◆ Cluster highlights
Bucked consensus
0 wins
avg bet $2.4K
◆ Funding map
◆ Wallet roster
| Wallet | Bets | Win rate | CC wins | Streak | PnL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5e46h | 152 | 99% | -$42.9K | |||
| 0x6Ab44aA62cf085B1855e74EcC7b42E308D0f96a5-1760586542686 | 18 | 89% | -$57.6K | |||
| 727be4fe725a0c283ff33c50409bb4c0d010d | 137 | 99% | +$22.1K | |||
| kahe | 45 | 89% | -$78.2K | |||
| 0x04fe…3688 | 35 | 91% | -$62.0K | |||
| Random3366 | 89 | 61% | +$27.7K | |||
| 0x4e8d…febf | 151 | 90% | -$16.8K | |||
| whataplaya | 5 | 100% | +$106.9K | |||
| 0x45a2…3c01 | 11 | 100% | -$5.2K | |||
| 0xC97b0b2A2547bB3eD57167092EF8a6e816C347E5-1770003388001 | 11 | 100% | +$31.9K | |||
| 0xf70f…3c97 | 57 | 95% | +$3.3K | |||
| 0x8e8c…65dd | 167 | 84% | -$11.4K | |||
| perevaloww | 30 | 83% | +$23.1K | |||
| 0x246b…fb5b | 70 | 83% | +$48.7K | |||
| 0x8375…ba1d | 10 | 90% | +$56.6K | |||
| 0x2f3b…0cf9 | 89 | 83% | +$70.1K | |||
| 0x9854…6bf2 | 21 | 71% | +$76.3K | |||
| 0xfb7b…ed88 | 34 | 76% | +$127.4K | |||
| Weebay | 78 | 73% | +$19.2K | |||
| 0xc690…42b8 | 25 | 84% | +$35.5K | |||
| LuckyWin | 6 | 100% | +$16.1K | |||
| 0xa45d…b413 | 13 | 85% | +$44.1K | |||
| 0xdbdd…a5de | 1507 | 55% | +$385.4K | |||
| 0x3b34…cca8 | 21 | 100% | +$15.6K | |||
| diadjaid | 10 | 90% | +$178.3K | |||
| 0x22d0…6293 | 30 | 80% | +$39.6K | |||
| Valen9 | 10 | 100% | +$58.8K | |||
| Mwhale | 8 | 100% | +$6.5K | |||
| dube | 13 | 100% | +$27.3K | |||
| 0x910d…cfc0 | 19 | 79% | +$20.4K |
◆ Markets touched


