Question 1

Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?" on Polymarket?

Accepted Answer

258 unique whale wallets have placed 1608 trades on "Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?", moving $291K in total volume. CrowdIntel tracks each trader's win rate, PnL and funding trail.

Question 2

What does whale sentiment say about "Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?"?

Accepted Answer

Whale buy-side volume is 97% of total traded volume on this market ($283K buys vs $8K sells). This reflects capital flow, not final odds.

Question 3

How does CrowdIntel detect insider trading on Polymarket?

Accepted Answer

A gated 0–100 insider score — a trade only scores if the wallet bought an outcome the market priced at 35c or below. Past that gate, seven components set the number: entry-depth tier, wallet skill z-score and fresh-wallet concentration, against four penalties for bot behaviour, negative PnL, oversized funding clusters and infrastructure funders. Weights are fit to measured edge — win rate minus entry price — across roughly 6,800 resolved alerts, not hand-tuned. Signals that measured negative on resolved outcomes, including bet size, market category and timing clusters, were removed rather than down-weighted. Trades scoring ≥65 are flagged as potential insider activity.

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

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