Question 1

Who is betting on "Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET" on Polymarket?

Accepted Answer

645 unique whale wallets have placed 14527 trades on "Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET", moving $456K in total volume. CrowdIntel tracks each trader's win rate, PnL and funding trail.

Question 2

What does whale sentiment say about "Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET"?

Accepted Answer

Whale buy-side volume is 71% of total traded volume on this market ($255K buys vs $106K sells). This reflects capital flow, not final odds.

Question 3

How does CrowdIntel detect insider trading on Polymarket?

Accepted Answer

A gated 0–100 insider score — a trade only scores if the wallet bought an outcome the market priced at 35c or below. Past that gate, seven components set the number: entry-depth tier, wallet skill z-score and fresh-wallet concentration, against four penalties for bot behaviour, negative PnL, oversized funding clusters and infrastructure funders. Weights are fit to measured edge — win rate minus entry price — across roughly 6,800 resolved alerts, not hand-tuned. Signals that measured negative on resolved outcomes, including bet size, market category and timing clusters, were removed rather than down-weighted. Trades scoring ≥65 are flagged as potential insider activity.

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

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