CrowdIntelLive
Investigations
CrowdIntel/ dossier
Issue №069 · Mar 27 · 2026
◆ Cluster intel · us-politics
8 wallets.
One hand.
8 wallets funded by 0x1ab4...8f23 placed 36 bets on us-politics markets. 35 of 36 resolved bets won (97%). Average entry odds: 50%. Total volume: $781K. Probability of this occurring by chance: <0.001%.
Bayesian win rate
56%
Confidence
85%
Z-score
0.91σ
Cluster PnL
-$50.2K
◆ Cluster highlights
Bucked consensus
0 wins
avg bet $7.1K
◆ Funding map
◆ Wallet roster
| Wallet | Bets | Win rate | CC wins | Streak | PnL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celestiala | 9 | 67% | +$247 | |||
| 0x21c9…1b1a | 6 | 67% | -$50.1K | |||
| 0xeb97…d4bb | 18 | 61% | -$36 | |||
| Maestro6 | 24 | 58% | +$6 | |||
| 0x66c0…5fc2 | 21 | 43% | -$201 | |||
| TokenMaster | 10 | 40% | -$6 | |||
| 0x8bd2…abde | 14 | 57% | -$52 | |||
| 0x37c3…0920 | 8 | 75% | -$95 |
◆ Markets touched
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?