CrowdIntel/ dossier
Issue №004 · Mar 25 · 2026
◆ Cluster intel · sports
3 wallets.
One hand.
3 wallets funded by 0xf504...e222 placed 106 bets on sports markets. 51 of 64 resolved bets won (80%). Average entry odds: 63%. Total volume: $547K. Probability of this occurring by chance: 0.450%.
Bayesian win rate
67%
Confidence
90%
Z-score
4.24σ
Cluster PnL
+$57.2K
◆ Cluster highlights
Bucked consensus
4 wins
avg bet $3.1K
◆ Funding map
◆ Wallet roster
| Wallet | Bets | Win rate | CC wins | Streak | PnL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| daytimeBAT1 | 61 | 80% | 2 | -$29.4K | ||
| BruceWayne77 | 48 | 52% | 1 | +$92.3K | ||
| romanh31 | 65 | 66% | 1 | -$5.7K |
◆ Markets touched

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
W
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
W
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?

US forces enter Iran by April 30?