4 wallets.
One hand.

Funded by0x1929…d215· 460 bets · $2.9M routed

4 wallets funded by 0x1929...d215 placed 132 bets on us-politics markets. 126 of 132 resolved bets won (95%). Average entry odds: 50%. Total volume: $2.9M. Probability of this occurring by chance: <0.001%.

Bayesian win rate

86%

Confidence

96%

Z-score

21.41σ

Cluster PnL

+$1.4M

◆ Cluster highlightsDerived from wallet roster

Bucked consensus

0 wins

avg bet $6.2K

◆ Funding mapEdges = funding tx · center = funder

◆ Wallet roster4 linked · click to open dossier

Wallet	Bets	Win rate	PnL
0xc8ab…6418	163	87%	+$577.5K
vvvvvllllllvvvvv	40	95%	+$100.4K
0x7e31…454d	15	93%	+$37.7K
0xe8dd…ec86	242	84%	+$672.0K

◆ Markets touchedTop 6 by volume

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

$1.8M routed· 64% of cluster

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

$1.6M routed· 55% of cluster

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

$1.3M routed· 44% of cluster

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

$1.0M routed· 36% of cluster

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

$962.9K routed· 34% of cluster

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

$809.6K routed· 28% of cluster

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