CrowdIntel/ dossier
Issue №023 · Mar 25 · 2026
◆ Cluster intel · tech
5 wallets.
One hand.
5 wallets funded by 0xf504...e222 placed 32 bets on tech markets. 32 of 32 resolved bets won (100%). Average entry odds: 50%. Total volume: $140K. Probability of this occurring by chance: <0.001%.
Bayesian win rate
95%
Confidence
84%
Z-score
19.70σ
Cluster PnL
+$5.1K
◆ Cluster highlights
Bucked consensus
0 wins
avg bet $1.3K
◆ Funding map
◆ Wallet roster
| Wallet | Bets | Win rate | CC wins | Streak | PnL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2ef2…7f72 | 6 | 100% | -$6.2K | |||
| 0xca5e…a236 | 11 | 91% | +$1.4K | |||
| mlinw | 8 | 88% | +$16.0K | |||
| 0x9963…1674 | 10 | 100% | -$6.8K | |||
| 0xc7a7…9f02 | 70 | 97% | +$833 |
◆ Markets touched

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
W
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
W
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?

US forces enter Iran by April 30?