Top Polymarket insiders — April 2026 recap

Each month CrowdIntel publishes the most notable wallets, investigations, and market movements we surfaced in the prior thirty days. This is the April 2026 edition.

By the numbers

A snapshot of the month's activity across our detection stack:

• New investigations opened: [N]
• Existing investigations updated with new resolved bets: [N]
• New wallets crossing the shrinkage-adjusted 70% threshold on 20+ resolved bets: [N]
• Total whale trades scored above our flagging threshold: [N]
• Categories with the most insider activity this month: [list]

The full numbers are live on /whales and /investigations; the snapshot above is month-end.

Three wallets worth watching

Wallet 1 — short descriptive label

Placeholder wallet

view profile →

Win rate

—

Volume

—

PnL

—

Replace with a real wallet at publication time. Include: category edge, most recent trade, why it stood out this month.

Two or three paragraphs explaining why this wallet matters. What market did it hit. What its category-specific edge looks like. Whether it's connected to any known cluster. Link to the full dossier for readers who want to dig deeper.

Wallet 2 — short descriptive label

Placeholder wallet

view profile →

Win rate

—

Volume

—

PnL

—

Same pattern.

Body paragraphs.

Wallet 3 — short descriptive label

Placeholder wallet

view profile →

Win rate

—

Volume

—

PnL

—

Same pattern.

Body paragraphs.

New investigations this month

Two to four investigations opened during the month. Each gets a short section explaining the cluster, the markets targeted, and what the statistical evidence looked like.

[Case name]

Placeholder investigation

read case →

Win rate

—

p-value

—

Replace with a real case at publication time. Include cluster summary + link to the full investigation.

Body paragraphs.

[Case name]

Placeholder investigation

read case →

Win rate

—

p-value

—

Body paragraphs.

Category movers

Which market categories saw the most insider-flagged activity this month. A short commentary on each:

• [Category 1] — why it moved, what the dominant theme was, and which wallets/clusters drove the action.
• [Category 2] — same structure.
• [Category 3] — same structure.

Patterns across months are more interesting than month-on-month individual moves; flag if anything has run three or more months in a row.

One market that moved on us

Pick the single highest-interest market of the month (by volume, by drama, by the investigation overlap) and write a paragraph or two on what happened. Link to the market page.

What we're watching next month

Two or three sentences on categories or events we expect to drive activity next month. Upcoming elections, scheduled court rulings, major sports events, crypto catalysts. Readers come back for this.

Methodology reminder

All numbers above come from live on-chain Polymarket data via our own indexer. Win rates are shrinkage-adjusted unless marked raw. Investigations require a combination of sample size, excess win rate, positive PnL, and statistical significance to be opened — see methodology for the public overview.

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Next recap publishes first week of May.