CrowdIntel/ Insider dispatch
Issue №434604
geopolitics
◆ Case file · CI-434604-60 · Aug 12, 03:51 AM
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Why this alert fired
Scored 60/100 on the insider suspicion model. Wallet has 116 resolved bets, 57% win rate, +$24.5K lifetime PnL. Bet placed sell on Yes at 10¢.
Signal breakdown
Counter Consensus Depth
+35
Skill Z Boost
+15
Fresh wallet pattern
+10
How it resolved
Final outcome
No
Alert prediction
LOST
Resolved
Aug 1, 2026
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