CrowdIntel/ Insider dispatch
Issue №434356
geopolitics
◆ Case file · CI-434356-75 · Aug 12, 02:19 AM
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Why this alert fired
Scored 75/100 on the insider suspicion model. Wallet has 43 resolved bets, 28% win rate, -$367 lifetime PnL. Bet placed sell on Yes at 9¢.
Signal breakdown
Counter Consensus Depth
+50
Skill Z Boost
+15
Fresh wallet pattern
+10
How it resolved
Final outcome
No
Alert prediction
LOST
Resolved
Aug 1, 2026
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