Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

SELL@ 10¢·$102·0x4d86…1cb2unknown

Why this alert fired

Scored 45/100 on the insider suspicion model. Wallet has 277 resolved bets, 10% win rate, -$509 lifetime PnL. Bet placed sell on Yes at 10¢.

Signal breakdown

Counter Consensus Depth

+35

Fresh wallet pattern

+10

How it resolved

Final outcome

Yes

Alert prediction

WON

Resolved

May 9, 2026

Funding cluster

Funded by 0x25e3…dabe — this wallet shares its funder with 1 other wallets.