CrowdIntel/ Insider dispatch
Issue №355629
geopolitics
◆ Case file · CI-355629-50 · Jul 23, 01:04 AM
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Why this alert fired
Scored 50/100 on the insider suspicion model. Wallet has 225 resolved bets, 51% win rate, +$368.4K lifetime PnL. Bet placed buy on Yes at 17¢.
Signal breakdown
Counter Consensus Depth
+35
Skill Z Boost
+15
How it resolved
Final outcome
No
Alert prediction
LOST
Resolved
May 16, 2026
Funding cluster
Funded by 0x7525…cde1 — this wallet shares its funder with 2 other wallets. Cluster lifetime PnL: +$368.4K.
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