US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Why this alert fired

Scored 25/100 on the insider suspicion model. Wallet has 594 resolved bets, 30% win rate, +$10.0K lifetime PnL. Bet placed buy on Yes at 9¢.

Signal breakdown

Counter Consensus Depth

+50

Bot Discount

-25

How it resolved

Final outcome

Alert prediction

LOST

Resolved

May 16, 2026

Funding cluster

Funded by 0x5b67…c66a — this wallet shares its funder with 5 other wallets. Cluster lifetime PnL: -$61.2K.