US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?

BUY@ 6¢·$240·0xe9c7…147aunknown

Why this alert fired

Scored 25/100 on the insider suspicion model. Wallet has 535 resolved bets, 59% win rate, +$3.6K lifetime PnL. Bet placed buy on Yes at 6¢.

Signal breakdown

Counter Consensus Depth

+50

Infra Cluster Discount

-25

How it resolved

Final outcome

Alert prediction

LOST

Resolved

May 14, 2026

Funding cluster

Funded by 0x3a3b…02e2 — this wallet shares its funder with 18501 other wallets. Cluster lifetime PnL: +$445.2K.