CrowdIntel/ Insider dispatch
Issue №314318
geopolitics
◆ Case file · CI-314318-50 · Jul 7, 02:33 PM
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Why this alert fired
Scored 50/100 on the insider suspicion model. Wallet has 2 resolved bets, 50% win rate, +$11.8K lifetime PnL. Bet placed buy on Yes at 12¢.
Signal breakdown
Counter Consensus Depth
+35
Skill Z Boost
+15
How it resolved
Final outcome
No
Alert prediction
LOST
Resolved
May 16, 2026
Funding cluster
Funded by 0xb013…57d9 — this wallet shares its funder with 1 other wallets.
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