CrowdIntel/ Insider dispatch
Issue №229810
geopolitics
◆ Case file · CI-229810-25 · Jun 16, 06:03 PM
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Why this alert fired
Scored 25/100 on the insider suspicion model. Wallet has 2 resolved bets, 50% win rate, +$11.8K lifetime PnL. Bet placed buy on Yes at 17¢.
Signal breakdown
Counter-consensus trade
+25
How it resolved
Final outcome
No
Alert prediction
LOST
Resolved
May 23, 2026
Funding cluster
Funded by 0xb013…57d9 — this wallet shares its funder with 1 other wallets.
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