Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Why this alert fired

Scored 25/100 on the insider suspicion model. Wallet has 486 resolved bets, 67% win rate, +$22.1K lifetime PnL. Bet placed buy on No at 0¢.

Signal breakdown

Counter Consensus Depth

+50

Bot Discount

-25

How it resolved

Final outcome

Yes

Alert prediction

LOST

Resolved

May 9, 2026

Funding cluster

Funded by 0x0c84…d290 — this wallet shares its funder with 1 other wallets.