CrowdIntel/ Insider dispatch

Issue №239344

geopolitics

◆ Case file · CI-239344-25 · Jun 17, 06:01 PM

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

BUY@ 13¢·$200·0x2521…66e0unknown

Why this alert fired

Scored 25/100 on the insider suspicion model. Wallet has 8 resolved bets, 38% win rate, +$80 lifetime PnL. Bet placed buy on Yes at 13¢.

Signal breakdown

Counter-consensus trade

+25

How it resolved

Final outcome

No

Alert prediction

LOST

Resolved

Jun 24, 2026

More from this wallet

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?60/100 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?25/100 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?25/100

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