CrowdIntel/ Insider dispatch
Issue №18945
geopolitics
◆ Case file · CI-18945-99 · Apr 12, 11:43 PM
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Why this alert fired
Scored 99/100 on the insider suspicion model. Wallet has 9 resolved bets, 89% win rate, +$99.2K lifetime PnL. Bet placed sell on No at 92¢.
Signal breakdown
Counter-consensus proven
+40
Investigation Boost
+39
Uncertain win rate boost
+25
High Odds Penalty
-15
Category
+10
Funding cluster
Funded by 0xf70d…dbef — this wallet shares its funder with 131830 other wallets. Cluster lifetime PnL: +$56.1M.
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