CrowdIntel/ Insider dispatch
Issue №18943
geopolitics
◆ Case file · CI-18943-89 · Apr 12, 11:40 PM
Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?
Why this alert fired
Scored 89/100 on the insider suspicion model. Wallet has 9 resolved bets, 89% win rate, +$99.2K lifetime PnL. Bet placed sell on No at 94¢.
Signal breakdown
Counter-consensus proven
+40
Investigation Boost
+39
Uncertain win rate boost
+25
High Odds Penalty
-15
Funding cluster
Funded by 0xf70d…dbef — this wallet shares its funder with 131799 other wallets. Cluster lifetime PnL: +$56.1M.
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