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Case file · Apr 29 · 2026
◆ Wallet dossier · whale
Share Polygonscan

Dargdarg · 0xecef…b593
Heavy hand. Still printing.

on polymarket· funded by0xd36e…a418· 9 resolved bets
🔮
Trader archetype
The Oracle
Specialist intel. Bets where others don't dare. · specialist in geopolitics
Win rate
89%
PnL
+$7.4K
Volume
$793.2K
Account age
—
13W
in a row
◆ Live book$235.5K at risk · 39 open positions
YesIran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
@ 95¢$599
YesUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
@ 99¢$18.8K
YesUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
@ 73¢$727
NoUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
@ 96¢$20.8K
NoUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
@ 96¢$9.1K
YesUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
@ 27¢$1.8K
W
YesWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?
@ 10¢$25
YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
@ 73¢$545
◆ Track record
Top calls
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$208
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?+$116
Iran leadership change by March 31?+$64
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?+$62
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?+$50
Recent events
WINWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?+$46
WINUS/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?+$49
WINUS/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?+$22
WINUS/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?+$40
WINIran leadership change by March 31?+$64
WINUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$208
WINWill another country strike Iran by March 31?+$34
WINWill another country strike Iran by March 31?+$4
WINWill another country strike Iran by March 31?+$62
WINKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?+$116
◆ Category edgeWhere the edge lives
🌍geopolitics90%+$2.6K
🏛us-politics0%-$563
◆ PnL evolutionCumulative profit over time · 90-day activity heatmap
Last 90 days
loss none win
◆ Funding cluster20 funding-linked · 0 timing-linked
◆ Cluster intelInvestigations this wallet's funder appears in
geopolitics·2 wallets·97% WRcrypto·3 wallets·99% WR
◆ ActivityAlerts · trades · breakdowns
Score WalletMarketBet PositionPrice ResultWin Rate PnL When
25
0xecef…b593
I
$177YES29c
Pending
———
54
0xecef…b593
I
$3,960YES99c
Pending
———
54
0xecef…b593
T
$2,880NO96c
Pending
———
29
0xecef…b593
U
$29,967NO100c
Pending
———
74
0xecef…b593
U
$29,967NO100c
Pending
———
49
0xecef…b593
T
$4,990NO100c
Pending
———
29
0xecef…b593
U
$16,881YES99c
Pending
———
59
0xecef…b593
U
$16,881YES99c
Pending
———
44
0xecef…b593
T
$4,800YES96c
Pending
———
59
0xecef…b593
U
$1,350YES27c
Pending
———
44
0xecef…b593
U
$1,350YES27c
Pending
———
29
0xecef…b593
U
$11,139NO98c
Pending
———
54
0xecef…b593
U
$11,139NO98c
Pending
———
29
0xecef…b593
U
$7,800NO97c
Pending
———
54
0xecef…b593
U
$7,800NO97c
Pending
———
29
0xecef…b593
U
$9,645NO95c
Pending
———
54
0xecef…b593
U
$9,645NO95c
Pending
———
44
0xecef…b593
W
$2,318NO77c
Pending
———
34
0xecef…b593
U
$1,278NO90c
Pending
———
35
0xecef…b593
W
$3,556NO98c
WIN$
———
35
0xecef…b593
U
$1,030NO98c
WIN$
———
35
0xecef…b593
U
$1,697NO97c
WIN$
———
35
0xecef…b593
W
$1,451NO97c
WIN$
———
crowdintel.xyz/whales/0xecef29d3d91b251c9e24dcd84ac242cb1702b593@CrowdIntelXYZ
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