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CrowdIntel/ wallet
Case file · Apr 27 · 2026
◆ Wallet dossier · unknown
TheRealWarMonger · 0xe472…e7eb
Polymarket operator. Still printing.
🔮
Trader archetype
The Oracle
Specialist intel. Bets where others don't dare. · specialist in geopolitics
Verdict
Printing
Up bigly — wallet on a heater.
◆ Live book
NoWill Qatar strike Iran by April 30?
@ 97¢$387
NoWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
@ 98¢$2.1K
YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
@ 98¢$2.1KYesWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
@ 83¢$50
NoUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
@ 25¢$1.9KNoUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
@ 83¢$332YesUS x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
@ 87¢$822
NoWill SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?
@ 97¢$300◆ Track record
Top calls
US forces enter Iran by March 31?+$471
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?+$6
Recent events
WINUS forces enter Iran by March 31?+$471
LOSSWill UAE strike Iran by March 31?-$127
LOSSWill UAE strike Iran by March 31?-$407
LOSSUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?-$353
LOSSUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?-$3.8K
LOSSUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?-$732
LOSSWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?-$289
LOSSWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?-$39
WINWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?+$6
◆ Category edge
🌍geopolitics4%-$13.1K
◆ PnL evolution
Last 90 days
loss none win
◆ Funding cluster
◆ Cluster intel
◆ Activity
| Score | Wallet | Market | Bet | Position | Price | Result | Win Rate | PnL | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
34 | 0xe472…e7eb | I | $22,593 | NO | 94c | Pending | — | — | — |
39 | 0xe472…e7eb | I | $4,089 | NO | 78c | Pending | — | — | — |
39 | 0xe472…e7eb | I | $4,778 | YES | 49c | Pending | — | — | — |
74 | 0xe472…e7eb | U | $1,850 | NO | 25c | Pending | — | — | — |