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Case file · Apr 27 · 2026
◆ Wallet dossier · operator

Tobimateu · 0xdce3…8bd0
Polymarket operator. Still bleeding.

on polymarket· 10 resolved bets
🎲
Trader archetype
The Degen
High volume. Low accuracy. Pure conviction.
Win rate
10%
PnL
-$353
Volume
$95.5K
Account age
5L
losing run
◆ Live book$554 at risk · 67 open positions
NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
@ 13¢$4
W
YesWill Iran successfully target shipping on April 7, 2026?
@ 64¢$1
YesWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
@ 11¢$2
W
YesWill Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
@ 6¢$2
E
DownEthereum Up or Down - April 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
@ 4¢$2
W
YesWill Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
@ 2¢$0
NoIran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
@ 7¢$2
T
YesTrump out as President by April 30?
@ 2¢$2
◆ Track record
Top calls
Solana Up or Down - April 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET+$9
Recent events
LOSSBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET-$1
LOSSWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on April 1?-$2
LOSSWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 1?-$1
LOSSWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $80,000 on April 1?-$1
LOSSWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 1?-$5
WINSolana Up or Down - April 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET+$9
LOSSSolana Up or Down - April 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET-$1
LOSSBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET-$1
LOSSWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?-$1
LOSSBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET-$1
◆ PnL evolutionCumulative profit over time · 90-day activity heatmap
Last 90 days
loss none win
◆ ActivityAlerts · trades · breakdowns

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