CrowdIntelLive
Whales
CrowdIntel/ wallet
Case file · Apr 28 · 2026
◆ Wallet dossier · unknown
Extravagance3 · 0xd10f…f12f
Polymarket operator. Still bleeding.
Verdict
Bleeding hard
Down badly — bag of pure misery.
◆ Live book
YesUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
@ 77¢$8.7KYesUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
@ 22¢$35
YesIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
@ 33¢$500YesIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
@ 64¢$3.3KU
YesUS forces enter Iran by April 30?
@ 57¢$1.4KW
YesWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?
@ 10¢$600
YesUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
@ 40¢$1.3K
YesKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
@ 31¢$2.5K◆ Track record
Top calls
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$4.3K
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?+$2.6K
Recent events
WINWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?+$2.6K
LOSSUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?-$1.7K
LOSSUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?-$2.2K
LOSSUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?-$1.1K
WINUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$4.3K
LOSSUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?-$1.3K
LOSSKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?-$1.5K
◆ Category edge
🌍geopolitics38%+$3.6K
◆ PnL evolution
Last 90 days
loss none win
◆ Funding cluster
◆ Cluster intel
◆ Activity
| Score | Wallet | Market | Bet | Position | Price | Result | Win Rate | PnL | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | 0xd10f…f12f | K | $1,292 | YES | 34c | Pending | — | — | — |
25 | 0xd10f…f12f | K | $1,208 | YES | 29c | Pending | — | — | — |