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CrowdIntel/ wallet
Case file · Apr 27 · 2026
◆ Wallet dossier · whale

Serega-pro · 0xcfb5…7d2d
Heavy hand. Still bleeding.

on polymarket· funded by0xf89d…aa40· 3 resolved bets
Verdict
Bleeding hard
Down badly — bag of pure misery.
Win rate
67%
PnL
-$12.2K
Volume
$1.3M
Account age
◆ Live book$158.3K at risk · 32 open positions
NoPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
@ 62¢$1.7K
NoKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
@ 100¢$150
W
NoWill JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?
@ 67¢$210
W
YesWill JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?
@ 87¢$40
J
NoJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
@ 72¢$1.1K
J
YesJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
@ 88¢$430
I
NoIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?
@ 0¢$15
M
YesMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
@ 19¢$130
◆ Track record
Top calls
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?+$185
Recent events
WINIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?+$185
LOSSIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?-$277
LOSSWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?-$34
LOSSWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?-$4
LOSSWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?-$1
◆ Category edgeWhere the edge lives
🌍geopolitics9%-$208
◆ PnL evolutionCumulative profit over time · 90-day activity heatmap
Last 90 days
loss none win
◆ Funding cluster20 funding-linked · 0 timing-linked
◆ Cluster intelInvestigations this wallet's funder appears in
◆ ActivityAlerts · trades · breakdowns
Score WalletMarketBet PositionPrice ResultWin Rate PnL When
40
0xcfb5…7d2d
S
$3,800NO71c
Pending
crowdintel.xyz/whales/0xcfb502224876900f577704a19580ec67f0877d2d@CrowdIntelXYZ
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Beta
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