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CrowdIntel/ wallet
Case file · Apr 27 · 2026
◆ Wallet dossier · unknown
garbagefriends · 0xc5bd…ceaa
Polymarket operator. Still printing.
🔮
Trader archetype
The Oracle
Specialist intel. Bets where others don't dare. · specialist in geopolitics
4W
in a row
◆ Live book
U
YesUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
@ 61¢$155W
YesWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
@ 88¢$23I
YesIsrael announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
@ 99¢$134I
YesIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
@ 91¢$10W
NoWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
@ 99¢$1.5KW
NoWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
@ 99¢$605T
NoTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
@ 87¢$87M
YesMilitary action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
@ 99¢$434◆ Track record
Top calls
US forces enter Iran by March 31?+$46
US forces enter Iran by March 31?+$44
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?+$5
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Address to the Nation?+$2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$1
Recent events
WINWill Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 3, 2026?+$1
WINWill Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 3, 2026?+$0
WINWill Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 3, 2026?+$0
WINUS forces enter Iran by March 31?+$46
LOSSUS forces enter Iran by March 31?-$11
LOSSUS forces enter Iran by March 31?-$41
LOSSUS forces enter Iran by March 31?-$11
WINUS forces enter Iran by March 31?+$44
LOSSUS forces enter Iran by March 31?-$23
LOSSUS forces enter Iran by March 31?-$17
◆ PnL evolution
Last 90 days
loss none win
◆ Activity
| Score | Wallet | Market | Bet | Position | Price | Result | Win Rate | PnL | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
40 | 0xc5bd…ceaa | I | $252 | YES | 71c | Pending | — | — | — |
40 | 0xc5bd…ceaa | N | $190 | NO | 95c | Pending | — | — | — |
40 | 0xc5bd…ceaa | I | $261 | YES | 99c | Pending | — | — | — |
40 | 0xc5bd…ceaa | R | $112 | NO | 99c | Pending | — | — | — |
40 | 0xc5bd…ceaa | I | $134 | YES | 99c | Pending | — | — | — |
40 | 0xc5bd…ceaa | R | $244 | NO | 99c | Pending | — | — | — |
25 | 0xc5bd…ceaa | U | $145 | YES | 25c | Pending | — | — | — |
40 | 0xc5bd…ceaa | U | $145 | YES | 25c | Pending | — | — | — |
40 | 0xc5bd…ceaa | W | $232 | NO | 83c | Pending | — | — | — |
40 | 0xc5bd…ceaa | S | $135 | NO | 54c | Pending | — | — | — |
40 | 0xc5bd…ceaa | W | $254 | YES | 56c | Pending | — | — | — |
40 | 0xc5bd…ceaa | U | $140 | YES | 70c | Pending | — | — | — |
40 | 0xc5bd…ceaa | U | $120 | YES | 60c | Pending | — | — | — |
40 | 0xc5bd…ceaa | S | $130 | YES | 65c | Pending | — | — | — |
40 | 0xc5bd…ceaa | T | $158 | NO | 95c | Pending | — | — | — |
40 | 0xc5bd…ceaa | U | $107 | YES | 69c | Pending | — | — | — |
35 | 0xc5bd…ceaa | U | $115 | NO | 24c | Pending | — | — | — |
35 | 0xc5bd…ceaa | U | $131 | YES | 31c | Pending | — | — | — |