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CrowdIntel/ wallet
Case file · Apr 27 · 2026
◆ Wallet dossier · whale

0xb51b…b4d9
Heavy hand. Still printing.

on polymarket· funded by0x1881…9919· 10 resolved bets
🐋
Trader archetype
The Whale
Market-moving capital. Volume is the message.
Verdict
Printing
Up bigly — wallet on a heater.
Win rate
90%
PnL
+$40.2K
Volume
$2.7M
Account age
◆ Live book$170.6K at risk · 129 open positions
W
NoWill Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?
@ 92¢$100
I
NoIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
@ 38¢$100
U
YesUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
@ 59¢$1.1K
I
YesIsrael announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
@ 91¢$2.1K
I
YesIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
@ 86¢$875
W
YesWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
@ 84¢$1.1K
W
YesWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
@ 98¢$3.4K
T
NoTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
@ 87¢$300
◆ Track record
Top calls
BitBoy convicted?+$135
Will there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?+$30
Will there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?+$14
Recent events
WINWill there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?+$14
WINWill there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?+$30
LOSSWill Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?-$411
LOSSWill the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?-$3
LOSSWill the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?-$3
LOSSWill the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?-$8
LOSSUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?-$6
LOSSBitBoy convicted?-$200
LOSSBitBoy convicted?-$200
LOSSBitBoy convicted?-$150
◆ Category edgeWhere the edge lives
🌍geopolitics13%-$120
◆ PnL evolutionCumulative profit over time · 90-day activity heatmap
Last 90 days
loss none win
◆ Funding cluster20 funding-linked · 0 timing-linked
◆ Cluster intelInvestigations this wallet's funder appears in
◆ ActivityAlerts · trades · breakdowns
Score WalletMarketBet PositionPrice ResultWin Rate PnL When
50
0xb51b…b4d9
I
$300NO87c
Pending
50
0xb51b…b4d9
W
$100YES69c
Pending
50
0xb51b…b4d9
W
$500NO83c
Pending
50
0xb51b…b4d9
W
$200YES65c
Pending
50
0xb51b…b4d9
W
$133NO84c
Pending
50
0xb51b…b4d9
W
$300NO84c
Pending
50
0xb51b…b4d9
T
$300NO92c
Pending
50
0xb51b…b4d9
U
$1,111NO80c
Pending
50
0xb51b…b4d9
I
$500YES92c
Pending
50
0xb51b…b4d9
I
$204YES93c
Pending
50
0xb51b…b4d9
I
$188YES94c
Pending
50
0xb51b…b4d9
I
$500YES94c
Pending
50
0xb51b…b4d9
I
$400YES88c
Pending
50
0xb51b…b4d9
I
$177YES89c
Pending
50
0xb51b…b4d9
U
$200NO77c
Pending
50
0xb51b…b4d9
U
$200YES59c
Pending
50
0xb51b…b4d9
W
$119NO87c
Pending
50
0xb51b…b4d9
U
$200NO80c
Pending
50
0xb51b…b4d9
W
$300NO91c
Pending
50
0xb51b…b4d9
W
$200NO87c
Pending
35
0xb51b…b4d9
U
$1,022NO100c
LOSS$
crowdintel.xyz/whales/0xb51b3beffd13cde071ed799e70a7b0b598e8b4d9@CrowdIntelXYZ
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