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CrowdIntel/ wallet
Case file · Apr 27 · 2026
◆ Wallet dossier · whale

0xb4fc…a926
Heavy hand. Still bleeding.

on polymarket· funded by0xf504…e222· 16 resolved bets
🔮
Trader archetype
The Oracle
Specialist intel. Bets where others don't dare. · specialist in geopolitics
Verdict
Bleeding hard
Down badly — bag of pure misery.
Win rate
94%
PnL
-$10.6K
Volume
$1.5M
Account age
9W
in a row
◆ Live book$271.7K at risk · 28 open positions
NoWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
@ 61¢$2.7K
YesWill MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?
@ 80¢$105
NoKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
@ 98¢$11.7K
YesMilitary action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
@ 98¢$2.1K
YesMilitary action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
@ 100¢$10.0K
W
YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14?
@ 64¢$312
NoWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?
@ 38¢$1.3K
NoWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?
@ 47¢$2.1K
◆ Track record
Top calls
US forces enter Iran by March 31?+$950
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?+$471
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?+$469
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$406
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?+$201
Recent events
WINUS forces enter Iran by March 31?+$950
WINUS forces enter Iran by March 31?+$56
WINEdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?+$471
WINEdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?+$21
WINEdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?+$469
WINU.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?+$129
WINU.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?+$43
WINUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$177
WINUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?+$406
LOSSWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?-$909
◆ Category edgeWhere the edge lives
🌍geopolitics83%+$1.3K
crypto48%-$2.8K
◆ PnL evolutionCumulative profit over time · 90-day activity heatmap
Last 90 days
loss none win
◆ Funding cluster20 funding-linked · 0 timing-linked
◆ Cluster intelInvestigations this wallet's funder appears in
◆ ActivityAlerts · trades · breakdowns
Score WalletMarketBet PositionPrice ResultWin Rate PnL When
45
0xb4fc…a926
W
$105YES80c
Pending
55
0xb4fc…a926
S
$1,560NO78c
Pending
40
0xb4fc…a926
U
$18,343NO99c
Pending
45
0xb4fc…a926
E
$1,891YES80c
WIN$
crowdintel.xyz/whales/0xb4fc3b8dfa7e5966df6d7ed8932e87eb46aaa926@CrowdIntelXYZ
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